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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Kortrijk
T S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Mechelen
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
67%
39%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3 Corners 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 13. · Mechelen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 11 1 1 +20 34
2 Anderlecht 12 9 2 1 +12 29
3 Antwerp 18 7 7 4 +3 28
4 St Truiden 18 7 6 5 -2 27
5 Charleroi 12 7 4 1 +9 25
6 Beveren 18 7 3 8 +3 24
7 Gent 13 7 2 4 +10 23
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 6 5 8 -6 23
9 Waregem 18 6 2 10 -3 20
10 Oostende 19 5 4 10 -3 19
11 Mechelen 18 4 6 8 -7 18
12 Standard 12 4 5 3 +0 17
13 Kortrijk 18 4 5 9 -10 17
14 Lokeren 18 4 5 9 -10 17
15 Genk 12 3 7 2 +2 16
16 Eupen 18 2 6 10 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Mechelen
1–0 J. Perbet
A. Ajagun
9′
2–0 T. Chevalier
K. D'Haene
20′
Stijn De Smet 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ N. Pedersen
J. Stojanović 🔁
↦ S. De Smet
58′
64′
🔁 D. Kolovos
↦ A. Kawaya
L. Azouni 🔁
↦ A. Ajagun
71′
Jovan Stojanovic 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 S. Dražić
↦ G. Claes
Y. Attal 🔁
↦ J. Perbet
85′
Lucas Rougeaux 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Seth De Witte
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

28 T. Kaminski G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
3 E. Makarenko D
6 L. Rougeaux D
2 B. Kumordzi M
8 A. Ajagun M
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
7 S. De Smet F
43 J. Perbet F
9 T. Chevalier F
Bench (7)
11 J. Stojanović
20 L. Azouni
24 Y. Attal
1 S. Bruzzese
5 V. Kovačević
18 P. Budkivskyi
31 A. Van Loo

Coach: G. De Boeck

Mechelen

26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
2 L. Paulussen D
15 E. Cocalić D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
11 M. Rits M
77 G. Claes M
9 N. Pedersen F
47 A. Kawaya F
27 B. Bandé F
Bench (9)
35 S. Ganvoula
20 D. Kolovos
99 S. Dražić
17 I. Tomečak
28 A. Swolfs
29 J. Van Cleemput
30 H. Smolders
49 A. Moris
55 Ž. Filipović

Coach: A. Janković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.