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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
Kortrijk
T U T U T
3–2
Full-time
St Truiden
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
14%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
57%
36%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Corners 10
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 15. · St Truiden 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 8 0 1 +14 24
2 St Truiden 14 7 3 4 -1 24
3 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +7 23
4 Beveren 14 6 3 5 +9 21
5 Charleroi 10 6 3 1 +7 21
6 Antwerp 14 5 5 4 +1 20
7 Waregem 14 6 1 7 +0 19
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 5 4 6 -4 19
9 Lokeren 14 4 4 6 -4 16
10 Standard 9 4 3 2 +2 15
11 Oostende 14 4 2 8 -2 14
12 Genk 9 2 6 1 +2 12
13 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
14 Mechelen 15 2 5 8 -9 11
15 Kortrijk 14 2 5 7 -9 11
16 Eupen 14 2 4 8 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk St Truiden
Lucas Rougeaux 🟨
25′
37′
🟨 Jonathan Legear
1–0 J. Perbet
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Dussaut
↦ E. Acolatse
2–0 L. Azouni
T. Chevalier
62′
Lucas Rougeaux 🟨
66′
Lucas Rougeaux 🟥
66′
S. De Smet 🔁
↦ J. Perbet
71′
72′
🟨 Dimitris Goutas
72′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ S. Asamoah
78′
🟨 Alexis De Sart
79′
🔁 B. Gueye
↦ S. De Petter
3–0 T. Chevalier
S. De Smet
79′
A. Ajagun 🔁
↦ T. Chevalier
81′
85′
I. Ouali 4–0
own goal
87′
Jorge Teixeira 4–1
B. Gueye
Thomas Kaminski 🟨
90′
P. Budkivskyi 🔁
↦ J. Stojanović
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

28 T. Kaminski G
5 V. Kovačević D
3 E. Makarenko D
6 L. Rougeaux D
2 B. Kumordzi M
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
20 L. Azouni M
43 J. Perbet F
27 I. Ouali M
9 T. Chevalier F
11 J. Stojanović M
Bench (7)
7 S. De Smet
8 A. Ajagun
18 P. Budkivskyi
1 S. Bruzzese
10 H. Kage
21 J. Pupe
30 K. D'Haene

Coach: G. De Boeck

St Truiden

21 L. Pirard G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
18 F. Antunes D
28 D. Goutas D
6 S. De Petter M
27 J. Legear F
24 C. De Norre D
5 A. De Sart M
11 Y. Boli F
29 E. Acolatse F
12 S. Asamoah M
Bench (7)
20 D. Dussaut
10 R. Bezus
9 B. Gueye
22 Sergio Ayala
1 K. Steppe
25 K. Abrahams
30 S. Bourard

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.