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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Club Brugge
S S U S S
4–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 14/20 matches
Win Ø 61%
86%
35%
Points per game
2,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
86%
55%
Both score Ø 67%
64%
70%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,6
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Corners 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Royal Excel Mouscron 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 12 1 1 +23 37
2 Anderlecht 13 10 2 1 +13 32
3 Antwerp 20 8 7 5 +3 31
4 St Truiden 20 7 8 5 -2 29
5 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 7 5 8 -5 26
6 Charleroi 12 7 4 1 +9 25
7 Beveren 20 7 4 9 +1 25
8 Gent 13 7 2 4 +10 23
9 Kortrijk 20 6 5 9 -7 23
10 Oostende 20 6 4 10 -1 22
11 Lokeren 20 5 6 9 -9 21
12 Waregem 20 6 2 12 -5 20
13 Standard 13 4 6 3 +0 18
14 Mechelen 20 4 6 10 -12 18
15 Genk 13 3 7 3 +1 16
16 Eupen 20 2 7 11 -19 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
35′
B. Van Durmen 0–1
T. Awoniyi
Half-time 0–1
J. Clasie 🔁
↦ M. Nakamba
46′
1–1 A. Limbombe
51′
Ruud Vormer 🟨
53′
54′
🟨 Benjamin van Durmen
60′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
60′
🟥 Nathan De Medina
2–1 R. Vormer
60′
Stefano Denswil 🟨
65′
J. Vossen 🔁
↦ Wesley
68′
69′
B. Godeau 2–2
O. Govea
3–2 Abdoulay Diaby
H. Vanaken
72′
77′
🔁 F. Olinga
↦ S. Amallah
85′
🔁 L. Mutambala
↦ T. Awoniyi
Anthony Limbombe 🟨
90′
4–2 Abdoulay Diaby
A. Limbombe
93′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Club Brugge

1 L. Butelle G
5 B. Poulain D
24 S. Denswil D
44 B. Mechele D
21 D. Cools D
25 R. Vormer M
20 H. Vanaken M
30 M. Nakamba M
10 Abdoulay Diaby F
17 A. Limbombe F
7 Wesley F
Bench (7)
6 J. Clasie
9 J. Vossen
3 T. Simons
8 L. Refaelov
18 G. Hubert
40 J. Vanlerberghe
42 E. Dennis

Coach: I. Leko

Royal Excel Mouscron

33 J. Butez G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
31 B. Godeau D
3 N. De Medina
27 M. Vojvoda D
11 D. Mohamed F
6 O. Govea M
30 B. Van Durmen
21 S. Amallah M
18 T. Awoniyi F
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
7 F. Olinga
13 L. Mutambala
8 M. Aidara
1 O. Werner
14 S. Spahiu
29 N. Debaisieux
98 T. Demol

Coach: M. Rednic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.