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Pro League

Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Gent

T S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

40%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 57%

40%

73%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 13. · Royal Excel Mouscron 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	+17	27
2	St Truiden	15	7	3	5	-2	24
3	Anderlecht	10	7	2	1	+7	23
4	Antwerp	15	6	5	4	+2	23
5	Charleroi	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Beveren	15	6	3	6	+6	21
7	Waregem	15	6	1	8	-1	19
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	5	4	6	-4	19
9	Standard	10	4	4	2	+2	16
10	Lokeren	15	4	4	7	-7	16
11	Genk	10	3	6	1	+3	15
12	Oostende	15	4	3	8	-2	15
13	Gent	10	4	2	4	+6	14
14	Kortrijk	15	3	5	7	-8	14
15	Mechelen	15	2	5	8	-9	11
16	Eupen	15	2	4	9	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	8	6	1	1	+5	19
2	Club Brugge	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Beveren	7	4	1	2	+8	13
4	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	3	2	3	-3	11
6	Standard	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Kortrijk	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Waregem	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+3	9
10	Antwerp	7	2	3	2	+2	9
11	Mechelen	8	2	3	3	+0	9
12	Eupen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Genk	5	1	4	0	+1	7
14	Gent	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Oostende	7	2	0	5	-3	6
16	Lokeren	8	1	3	4	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	6	4	2	0	+4	14
2	Antwerp	8	4	2	2	+0	14
3	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Lokeren	7	3	1	3	+2	10
6	Waregem	7	3	0	4	+2	9
7	Oostende	8	2	3	3	+1	9
8	Gent	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	Genk	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Beveren	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Standard	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	St Truiden	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Kortrijk	7	1	1	5	-8	4
15	Mechelen	7	0	2	5	-9	2
16	Eupen	7	0	2	5	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.