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Pro League
Genk
S T T U T
2–0
Full-time
Gent
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 19/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
37%
62%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
46%
Both score Ø 46%
53%
38%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 9. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 21 10 5 6 +5 35
2 Standard 20 9 6 5 +15 33
3 Waregem 15 10 3 2 +14 33
4 Club Brugge 14 10 2 2 +23 32
5 Anderlecht 13 9 2 2 +22 29
6 Oostende 13 8 2 3 +15 26
7 Gent 13 8 2 3 +10 26
8 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
9 Genk 19 7 4 8 -7 25
10 Lokeren 21 6 6 9 -5 24
11 Kortrijk 21 6 6 9 -11 24
12 Eupen 21 5 5 11 -18 20
13 St Truiden 20 5 4 11 -8 19
14 Beveren 20 4 7 9 -12 19
15 Westerlo 21 3 6 12 -22 15
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 3 3 15 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Gent
1–0 Pozuelo
L. Bailey
19′
2–0 N. Karelis
26′
44′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ A. Esiti
Half-time 2–0
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
51′
65′
🔁 L. Verstraete
↦ K. Saief
65′
🔁 T. De Smet
↦ L. Nielsen
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
82′
T. Sušić 🔁
↦ Pozuelo
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
2 J. Brabec
21 J. Uronen
4 O. Colley
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
19 T. Buffel
24 Pozuelo
28 B. Heynen
7 N. Karelis
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
77 M. Samatta
14 L. Trossard
10 T. Sušić
5 S. Walsh
6 S. Dewaest
8 B. Kumordzi
30 N. Jackers

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Gent

1 J. Rinne
55 R. Gershon
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
44 A. Esiti
24 J. Perbet
27 M. Simon
Bench (7)
19 B. Dejaegere
33 L. Verstraete
29 T. De Smet
2 J. Taravel
16 R. Schoofs
20 Y. Thoelen
40 I. Rabiu

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.