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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Charleroi
T T S U U
2–1
Full-time
Lokeren
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
1,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2 Corners 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 11. · Lokeren 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 8 6 2 0 +16 20
2 Club Brugge 5 5 0 0 +11 15
3 Gent 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Antwerp 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 St Truiden 8 3 4 1 +3 13
6 Oostende 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
8 Eupen 9 3 1 5 -8 10
9 Standard 6 2 3 1 +3 9
10 Cercle Brugge 8 2 3 3 -4 9
11 Charleroi 8 2 2 4 -1 8
12 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -6 8
13 Beveren 8 0 5 3 -5 5
14 Lokeren 8 1 2 5 -9 5
15 Waregem 9 1 2 6 -13 5
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 1 1 6 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Lokeren
11′
🟨 Mickael Tirpan
43′
🟨 Mehdi Terki
Half-time 0–0
Steeven Willems 🔁
↦ Núrio
46′
46′
🔁 Jose Francisco Cevallos
↦ Mehdi Terki
1–0 Cristian Benavente
54′
74′
🔁 Yusuf Lawal
↦ Ari Freyr Skúlason
2–0 Adama Niane
75′
82′
🔁 Anton Saroka
↦ Guus Hupperts
83′
Mickael Tirpan 2–1
Ali Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ Adama Niane
86′
88′
🟨 Jakov Filipović
Romain Grange 🔁
↦ Cristian Benavente
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
8 Martos D
17 Stergos Marinos D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
25 Núrio D
13 Christophe Diandy M
14 Cristian Benavente M
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
77 Massimo Bruno F
9 Adama Niane F
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (8)
69 Rémy Riou
23 Steeven Willems
4 Maxime Busi
20 Nathan Rodes
7 Omid Norafkan
88 Ali Gholizadeh
39 David Henen
29 Romain Grange

Coach: F. Mazzù

Lokeren

5-3-2
12 Ortwin De Wolf G
3 Olivier Deschacht D
6 Ari Freyr Skúlason D
16 Omri Ben Harush D
25 Mickael Tirpan D
32 Jakov Filipović D
7 Killian Overmeire M
22 Steve De Ridder M
17 Guus Hupperts F
14 Mehdi Terki F
99 Đorđe Jovanović F
Bench (9)
13 Davino Verhulst
26 Arno Monsecour
18 Bambo Diaby
10 Jose Francisco Cevallos
23 Lukáš Mareček
28 Amine Benchaib
77 Anton Saroka
21 Marko Miric
24 Yusuf Lawal

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.