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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Oostende
T S T T U
1–0
Full-time
Lokeren
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 21%
29%
12%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1 Corners 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 11. · Lokeren 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 17 8 6 3 +10 30
2 Charleroi 17 8 2 7 +4 26
3 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
4 Antwerp 11 8 1 2 +8 25
5 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +15 23
6 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
7 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +10 23
8 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -4 23
9 Cercle Brugge 17 6 4 7 -9 22
10 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
11 Oostende 17 5 4 8 -13 19
12 Eupen 17 6 1 10 -14 19
13 Waregem 17 4 4 9 -10 16
14 Beveren 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 4 10 -11 13
16 Lokeren 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Lokeren
Half-time 0–0
49′
🔁 Mario Tičinović
↦ Guus Hupperts
Žarko Tomašević 🟨
65′
68′
🟨 Ari Freyr Skúlason
1–0 Fernando Canesin ⚽
72′
Jelle Bataille 🔁
↦ Indy Boonen
73′
73′
🔁 Amine Benchaib
↦ Joher Khadim Rassoul
85′
🟨 Mario Tičinović
85′
🟨 Marko Miric
Sindrit Guri 🔁
↦ Richairo Zivkovic
86′
87′
🔁 Anton Saroka
↦ Ari Freyr Skúlason
Goran Milović 🔁
↦ Sander Coopman
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oostende

4-2-3-1
1 Fabrice Ondoa G
27 Brecht Capon D
4 Wout Faes D
6 Nicolas Lombaerts D
33 Žarko Tomašević D
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
14 Aristote Nkaka D
55 Fernando Canesin F
43 Sander Coopman M
11 Indy Boonen F
9 Richairo Zivkovic F
Bench (7)
28 William Dutoit
5 Goran Milović
3 Laurens De Bock
29 Robbie D'Haese
8 Francois Marquet
25 Jelle Bataille
10 Sindrit Guri

Coach: G. Verheyen

Lokeren

4-1-4-1
12 Ortwin De Wolf G
25 Mickael Tirpan D
18 Bambo Diaby D
3 Olivier Deschacht D
6 Ari Freyr Skúlason D
7 Killian Overmeire M
14 Mehdi Terki F
23 Lukáš Mareček M
20 Joher Khadim Rassoul M
17 Guus Hupperts F
21 Marko Miric F
Bench (7)
30 Robin Mantel
91 Mario Tičinović
32 Jakov Filipović
10 Jose Francisco Cevallos
28 Amine Benchaib
77 Anton Saroka
99 Đorđe Jovanović

Coach: T. Sollied

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.