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Referee: Christof Dierick

Royal Excel Mouscron

T U U S T

0–0

Full-time

Genk

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,8

Scored

1,2

3,3

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,8

This season — Pro League · 14/9 matches

Win Ø 46%

14%

78%

Points per game

0,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

78%

Both score Ø 55%

43%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,1

Scored

0,7

3,0

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 2

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 16. · Genk 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	St Truiden	15	6	6	3	+6	24
3	Club Brugge	10	7	2	1	+18	23
4	Genk	9	7	2	0	+17	23
5	Anderlecht	10	7	2	1	+12	23
6	Gent	10	7	1	2	+12	22
7	Charleroi	15	6	2	7	+0	20
8	Cercle Brugge	15	5	4	6	-8	19
9	Oostende	15	5	3	7	-12	18
10	Standard	10	4	4	2	+5	16
11	Kortrijk	15	4	4	7	-6	16
12	Eupen	15	5	1	9	-12	16
13	Waregem	15	3	3	9	-12	12
14	Beveren	15	1	8	6	-6	11
15	Lokeren	15	2	4	9	-13	10
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	Cercle Brugge	8	5	1	2	+1	16
3	St Truiden	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Charleroi	8	5	0	3	+2	15
5	Genk	5	4	1	0	+8	13
6	Antwerp	5	4	1	0	+8	13
7	Gent	6	4	1	1	+6	13
8	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+7	11
9	Waregem	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Oostende	7	3	1	3	-4	10
11	Eupen	8	3	0	5	-5	9
12	Lokeren	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Standard	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Beveren	7	0	5	2	-2	5
16	Kortrijk	7	1	2	4	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Antwerp	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Standard	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Kortrijk	8	3	2	3	+0	11
5	Genk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
6	Gent	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	+0	9
8	Oostende	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Eupen	7	2	1	4	-7	7
11	Beveren	8	1	3	4	-4	6
12	Charleroi	7	1	2	4	-2	5
13	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	-9	3
14	Lokeren	8	0	2	6	-7	2
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	0	2	5	-8	2
16	Waregem	7	0	1	6	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.