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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
Kortrijk
U U T T S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 4
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 10. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 16 7 6 3 +8 27
2 Charleroi 17 8 2 7 +4 26
3 Antwerp 10 8 1 1 +10 25
4 Genk 11 7 3 1 +16 24
5 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +16 23
6 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
7 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +10 23
8 Cercle Brugge 17 6 4 7 -9 22
9 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
10 Kortrijk 16 5 4 7 -5 19
11 Oostende 16 5 3 8 -13 18
12 Eupen 16 5 1 10 -15 16
13 Waregem 16 4 3 9 -10 15
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -10 13
15 Beveren 16 1 8 7 -7 11
16 Lokeren 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 Julien De Sart
2′
23′
🟨 Bilal Chibani
Julien De Sart 🟨
40′
Kristof D'Haene 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Mbaye Leye
↦ Bilal Chibani
Jovan Stojanovic 🟨
51′
Abdul Ajagun 🔁
↦ Jovan Stojanovic
62′
72′
🔁 Mergim Vojvoda
↦ Giorgos Galitsios
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 🔁
↦ Julien De Sart
73′
75′
🟨 Frank Boya
89′
🔁 Andres Sarmiento
↦ Benjamin van Durmen
Imoh Ezekiel 🔁
↦ Teddy Chevalier
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

28 Thomas Kaminski G
4 Gary Kagelmacher D
26 Elohim Rolland M
2 Bennard Kumordzi M
11 Jovan Stojanovic M
5 Larry Azouni M
23 Julien De Sart M
20 Felipe Avenatti F
7 Ilombe Mboyo F
30 Kristof D'Haene F
9 Teddy Chevalier F
Bench (8)
1 Sebastien Bruzzese
29 Andriy Batsula
8 Abdul Ajagun
21 Charis Charisis
39 Imoh Ezekiel
10 Kanu
27 Idir Ouali
14 Hannes Van Der Bruggen

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Royal Excel Mouscron

33 Jean Butez G
2 Noe Dussenne D
13 Giorgos Galitsios D
31 Bruno Godeau D
21 Manuel Benson M
15 Frank Boya M
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
24 Nikola Gulan M
7 Fabrice Olinga F
23 Frantzdy Pierrot F
26 Bilal Chibani F
Bench (7)
1 Olivier Werner
25 Christophe Diedhiou
27 Mergim Vojvoda
18 Mbaye Leye
9 Yannis Mbombo
11 Dimitri Mohamed
19 Andres Sarmiento

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.