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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
2–2
Full-time
Standard
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 17/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
29%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
65%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

7 Corners 5
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Standard 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 3 1 +35 51
2 Standard 20 12 4 4 +21 40
3 Antwerp 21 12 4 5 +18 40
4 Charleroi 19 12 4 3 +17 40
5 Gent 20 11 5 4 +18 38
6 Waregem 20 9 5 6 +6 32
7 Genk 21 9 5 7 +5 32
8 Mechelen 20 9 5 6 +3 32
9 Mouscron 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Anderlecht 19 5 8 6 +0 23
11 St Truiden 20 6 5 9 -12 23
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 5 7 5 +1 22
13 Eupen 19 4 5 10 -17 17
14 Kortrijk 20 4 4 12 -11 16
15 Oostende 19 4 4 11 -15 16
16 Cercle Brugge 21 3 4 14 -24 13
17 Waasland-Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11
18 Beveren 18 2 5 11 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
6′
R. Emond 0–1
Dimitri Mohamed 🟨
41′
1–1 S. Perica
D. Mohamed
44′
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟥 Paul-José Mpoku
N. Antonov 🔁
↦ Aleix García
56′
Alessandro Ciranni 🟨
62′
69′
🔁 M. Lestienne
↦ A. Boljević
C. Omoigui 🔁
↦ F. Boya
71′
79′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ R. Emond
2–1 S. Perica
N. Antonov
81′
90′
🟥 Mehdi Carcela-González
J. Huyghebaert 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
93′
94′
M. Lestienne 2–2
S. Amallah
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
90 V. Vasić G
31 B. Godeau D
4 N. De Medina D
23 Diogo Queirós D
13 A. Ciranni D
11 D. Mohamed M
24 Aleix García M
30 B. Van Durmen M
15 F. Boya M
7 F. Olinga F
18 S. Perica F
Bench (7)
3 N. Antonov
20 C. Omoigui
28 J. Huyghebaert
6 D. Hočko
34 N. Gillekens
22 Joan Campins
25 R. Pietrzak

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Standard

4-3-3
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
27 M. Vojvoda D
3 Z. Vanheusden D
10 M. Carcela M
40 P. M'Poku F
18 A. Boljević F
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
9 R. Emond F
Bench (7)
22 M. Lestienne
25 F. Avenatti
21 C. Fai
2 R. Goreux
1 J. Gillet
4 D. Lavalée
26 N. Raskin

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.