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OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Stabaek
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,8
4,3
Scored
4,2
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 54%
83%
24%
Points per game
2,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
72%
62%
Both score Ø 61%
52%
69%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,9
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Stabaek 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 29 24 5 0 +66 77
2 Start 29 15 7 7 +20 52
3 Aalesund 27 14 9 4 +25 51
4 Kongsvinger 28 14 8 6 +16 50
5 Lyn 29 14 5 10 +14 47
6 Egersund 27 13 7 7 +12 46
7 Sogndal 29 12 7 10 +4 43
8 Ranheim 28 12 6 10 -4 42
9 Odd 29 8 9 12 -10 33
10 hodd 29 8 8 13 -18 32
11 Stabaek 29 7 10 12 -5 31
12 Asane 29 7 9 13 -15 30
13 Raufoss 29 7 8 14 -13 29
14 Moss 29 7 6 16 -24 27
15 Mjondalen 29 6 7 16 -34 25
16 Skeid 29 1 9 19 -34 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stabaek
23′
🟨 B. Diabate
1–0 Felix Va
Y. Paintsil
23′
29′
🟨 M. Hellan
M. Diop 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🟨 E. Danso
R. Gabrielsen 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 J. Skjelvik
↦ A. Andresen
66′
🔁 D. Afrim
↦ R. E. Vinge
S. Drammeh 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
67′
2–0 Felix Va
E. Kitolano
67′
69′
🟨 D. Afrim
S. Foss 🔁
↦ E. B. Garnas
78′
H. Woxen 🔁
↦ M. Karlsbakk
78′
3–0 E. Kitolano
S. Drammeh
83′
G. Asen 🔁
↦ M. Diop
88′
L. Svenningsen 🔁
↦ E. Larsson
88′
88′
🔁 K. Pedersen
↦ A. Matic
88′
🔁 W. Wendt
↦ E. Danso
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
64 E. Larsson
4 E. B. Garnas
28 R. Gabrielsen
11 F. Elkaer
8 M. Karlsbakk
6 V. Hoff
17 E. Kitolano
26 Y. Paintsil
33 M. Diop
20 Felix Va
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
5 S. Foss
10 T. Olsen
15 S. Drammeh
23 G. Asen
30 L. Svenningsen
32 H. Woxen
35 F. V. Reshane
36 I. Jallow

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Stabaek

24 M. Sjoeng
13 M. Hellan
14 M. Nielsen
4 N. Naess
15 O. Veum
28 J. Isaksen
27 E. Danso
6 A. Matic
20 A. Andresen
7 R. E. Vinge
9 B. Diabate
Bench (9)
41 K. Lokkevik
2 K. Pedersen
5 J. Skjelvik
21 K. Onsrud
22 K. Opseth
23 W. Wendt
25 D. Afrim
29 K. Ekorness
32 A. Cedergren

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.