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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Lillestrom

S T S U T

1–2

Full-time

Molde

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 16/17 matches

Win Ø 43%

38%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

69%

65%

Both score Ø 55%

56%

53%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,33 xG 1,25

59% Possession 41%

7 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Molde 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	12	5	2	+25	+13.9	41
2	Viking	18	9	6	3	+10	+6.6	33
3	Brann	18	9	6	3	+6	+10.6	33
4	Molde	17	8	4	5	+12	+11.0	28
5	Fredrikstad	17	7	7	3	+8	+1.8	28
6	KFUM Oslo	18	6	8	4	+1	+5.4	26
7	Sarpsborg 08	18	6	4	8	-7	-3.9	22
8	Ham-Kam	18	5	6	7	+1	-2.8	21
9	Kristiansund	17	5	6	6	-2	-8.0	21
10	Rosenborg	17	6	3	8	-7	-2.7	21
11	Lillestrom	16	6	2	8	-7	-3.0	20
12	Stromsgodset	18	5	5	8	-7	-3.2	20
13	Tromso	18	5	3	10	-7	-9.0	18
14	Odd	18	4	6	8	-12	-10.4	18
15	Sandefjord	18	4	5	9	-5	-0.8	17
16	Haugesund	17	5	2	10	-9	-5.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	3	0	+14	+7.0	21
2	Viking	10	6	3	1	+7	+3.1	21
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Rosenborg	8	5	1	2	+2	+2.3	16
5	Kristiansund	8	4	3	1	+4	+2.7	15
6	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
7	Sandefjord	9	4	1	4	+1	+1.3	13
8	Fredrikstad	8	2	5	1	+2	+2.5	11
9	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-2	-0.6	10
10	Odd	10	2	4	4	-5	-2.7	10
11	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	1	5	-7	+0.3	10
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	3	3	+0	+2.0	9
13	Haugesund	9	3	0	6	-5	-0.9	9
14	KFUM Oslo	9	1	5	3	-5	+6.5	8
15	Lillestrom	8	2	2	4	-8	-3.6	8
16	Ham-Kam	8	1	3	4	-3	-2.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	6	2	2	+11	+6.8	20
2	KFUM Oslo	9	5	3	1	+6	-1.0	18
3	Fredrikstad	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.7	17
4	Brann	9	4	4	1	+2	+0.7	16
5	Ham-Kam	10	4	3	3	+4	-0.1	15
6	Molde	8	4	2	2	+6	+2.0	14
7	Viking	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.5	12
8	Lillestrom	8	4	0	4	+1	+0.5	12
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	3	3	+0	-4.2	12
10	Stromsgodset	10	3	2	5	-7	-5.2	11
11	Haugesund	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.7	8
12	Tromso	8	2	2	4	-5	-8.3	8
13	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
14	Kristiansund	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.6	6
15	Rosenborg	9	1	2	6	-9	-5.0	5
16	Sandefjord	9	0	4	5	-6	-2.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.