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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Bristol City
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Hull
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
This season — Championship · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 33%
37%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
56%
66%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 12. · Hull 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 42 22 14 6 +33 80
2 Leeds 41 23 9 9 +29 78
3 Fulham 40 21 9 10 +13 72
4 Nott'm Forest 42 18 14 10 +12 68
5 Brentford 39 19 9 11 +35 66
6 Cardiff 41 16 15 10 +6 63
7 Derby 42 16 13 13 +1 61
8 Swansea 39 15 15 9 +9 60
9 Blackburn 42 16 11 15 +4 59
10 Millwall 42 14 17 11 +2 59
11 Preston 41 16 10 15 +2 58
12 Bristol City 41 15 10 16 -7 55
13 Reading 42 14 11 17 +5 53
14 QPR 41 15 8 18 -6 53
15 Sheffield Weds 41 14 10 17 -6 52
16 Wigan 41 13 11 17 -8 50
17 Birmingham 41 12 13 16 -13 49
18 Middlesbrough 42 11 14 17 -11 47
19 Huddersfield 42 12 11 19 -14 47
20 Stoke 41 13 7 21 -7 46
21 Charlton 42 12 10 20 -10 46
22 Hull 41 12 9 20 -16 45
23 Barnsley 42 10 12 20 -21 42
24 Luton 42 11 8 23 -32 41

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Hull
Z. Vyner 🔁
↦ N. Baker
5′
22′
🟨 George Honeyman
1–0 F. Diedhiou
J. Paterson
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Eaves
↦ J. Magennis
46′
🔁 K. Stewart
↦ Jon Toral
2–0 J. Paterson
53′
59′
🔁 J. Bowler
↦ J. Scott
60′
J. de Wijs 2–1
G. Honeyman
B. Afobe 🔁
↦ N. Wells
74′
Á. Nagy 🔁
↦ A. Weimann
74′
90′
🟨 Jordy de Wijs
90′
🟨 Mallik Wilks
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ F. Diedhiou
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

3-5-2
1 D. Bentley G
2 J. Hunt M
6 N. Baker D
22 T. Kalas D
31 F. Benković D
3 J. Dasilva M
7 K. Smith M
14 A. Weimann M
20 J. Paterson M
21 N. Wells F
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (9)
26 Z. Vyner
40 B. Afobe
4 Á. Nagy
15 M. Watkins
11 C. O'Dowda
19 N. Eliasson
38 J. Wollacott
42 H. Massengo
25 T. Rowe

Coach: D. Holden

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 G. Long G
15 A. MacDonald D
4 J. de Wijs D
5 R. Burke D
26 C. Elder D
10 Jon Toral M
37 Leonardo Lopes M
18 G. Honeyman M
27 J. Magennis F
44 J. Scott M
43 M. Wilks M
Bench (9)
9 T. Eaves
6 K. Stewart
19 J. Bowler
3 R. Tafazolli
25 M. Pennington
13 M. Ingram
31 K. Lewis-Potter
17 S. McLoughlin
8 D. Batty

Coach: G. McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,50
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.