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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Torino
U S T T T
3–1
Full-time
Brescia
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 24%
30%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
63%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 16. · Brescia 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 31 24 3 4 +35 75
2 Lazio 31 21 5 5 +34 68
3 Inter 30 19 7 4 +32 64
4 Atalanta 30 19 6 5 +44 63
5 Napoli 31 15 6 10 +9 51
6 Milan 31 14 7 10 +4 49
7 Roma 30 14 6 10 +12 48
8 Verona 30 11 9 10 +1 42
9 Bologna 30 11 8 11 -4 41
10 Sassuolo 30 11 7 12 +3 40
11 Cagliari 31 10 10 11 +2 40
12 Parma 30 11 6 13 +1 39
13 Fiorentina 31 8 11 12 -6 35
14 Sampdoria 30 9 5 16 -15 32
15 Udinese 30 8 8 14 -16 32
16 Torino 30 9 4 17 -22 31
17 Lecce 31 7 7 17 -31 28
18 Genoa 31 6 9 16 -22 27
19 Brescia 30 5 6 19 -31 21
20 Spal 30 5 4 21 -30 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -19 Brescia – Torino 0–4

Match report

Torino Brescia
21′
E. Torregrossa 0–1
Half-time 0–2
0–2 A. Mateju
own goal
48′
52′
🟨 A. Papetti
57′
🟨 S. Tonali
1–2 A. Belotti
58′
60′
🔁 S. Tonali
↦ M. Viviani
61′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ J. Zmrhal
74′
🔁 D. Dessena
↦ E. Ndoj
74′
🔁 N. Spalek
↦ S. Skrabb
C. Ansaldi 🔁
↦ O. Aina
75′
S. Zaza 🟨
76′
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ S. Lukic
79′
82′
🟨 A. Donnarumma
2–2 S. Zaza
86′
87′
🔁 E. Torregrossa
↦ A. Ghezzi
A. Belotti 🔁
↦ A. Berenguer
89′
L. De Silvestri 🔁
↦ K. Djidji
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-1-2
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
4 Lyanco D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
36 Gleison Bremer D
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri M
23 Soualiho Meïté M
88 Tomás Rincón M
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
24 Simone Verdi F
11 Simone Zaza F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (12)
18 Samir Ujkani
25 Antonio Rosati
17 Wilfried Stephane Singo
27 Emin Ghazoini
30 Koffi Djidji
34 Ola Aina
7 Saša Lukić
80 Michel Ndary Adopo
19 Jean Freddi Greco
20 Simone Edera
22 Vincenzo Millico
21 Alex Berenguer

Coach: M. Longo

Brescia

4-4-2
1 Jesse Joronen G
2 Stefano Sabelli D
32 Andrea Papetti D
3 Aleš Matějů D
26 Bruno Martella D
7 Nikolas Špalek M
27 Daniele Dessena M
4 Sandro Tonali M
31 Birkir Bjarnason M
11 Ernesto Torregrossa F
9 Alfredo Donnarumma F
Bench (11)
12 Lorenzo Andrenacci
5 Daniele Gastaldello
29 Alessandro Semprini
14 Jhon Chancellor
16 Andrea Ghezzi
6 Emanuele Ndoj
23 Simon Skrabb
8 Jaromír Zmrhal
24 Mattia Viviani
19 Massimiliano Mangraviti
18 Florian Aye

Coach: D. López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
3,90
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.