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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Barcelona

U S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Espanol

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 40%

65%

15%

Points per game

2,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

65%

44%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%

9 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Espanol 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	34	23	8	3	+41	77
2	Barcelona	34	22	7	5	+42	73
3	Ath Madrid	35	16	15	4	+21	63
4	Sevilla	34	16	12	6	+16	60
5	Villarreal	35	17	6	12	+12	57
6	Getafe	35	14	11	10	+9	53
7	Sociedad	34	15	6	13	+8	51
8	Valencia	35	13	11	11	-6	50
9	Ath Bilbao	34	12	12	10	+9	48
10	Granada	34	13	8	13	+2	47
11	Osasuna	35	11	12	12	-10	45
12	Levante	34	12	7	15	-5	43
13	Betis	35	10	11	14	-8	41
14	Valladolid	35	8	15	12	-10	39
15	Celta	35	7	15	13	-10	36
16	Eibar	34	9	8	17	-17	35
17	Alaves	34	9	8	17	-19	35
18	Mallorca	34	8	5	21	-24	29
19	Leganes	34	6	10	18	-24	28
20	Espanol	34	5	9	20	-27	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	15	2	0	+36	47
2	Real Madrid	17	13	4	0	+26	43
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	5	1	+16	38
4	Valencia	18	10	7	1	+12	37
5	Ath Bilbao	17	9	4	4	+10	31
6	Sevilla	17	8	7	2	+9	31
7	Betis	18	9	4	5	+8	31
8	Sociedad	17	9	3	5	+14	30
9	Getafe	18	8	6	4	+7	30
10	Granada	17	9	3	5	+7	30
11	Villarreal	17	8	5	4	+9	29
12	Levante	17	8	5	4	+8	29
13	Alaves	17	7	5	5	+6	26
14	Mallorca	17	7	3	7	+2	24
15	Osasuna	17	6	6	5	-4	24
16	Celta	18	5	8	5	+3	23
17	Eibar	17	7	2	8	-2	23
18	Valladolid	17	4	10	3	+2	22
19	Leganes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Espanol	17	2	5	10	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	4	3	+15	34
2	Sevilla	17	8	5	4	+7	29
3	Villarreal	18	9	1	8	+3	28
4	Barcelona	17	7	5	5	+6	26
5	Ath Madrid	18	5	10	3	+5	25
6	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+2	23
7	Sociedad	17	6	3	8	-6	21
8	Osasuna	18	5	6	7	-6	21
9	Ath Bilbao	17	3	8	6	-1	17
10	Granada	17	4	5	8	-5	17
11	Valladolid	18	4	5	9	-12	17
12	Levante	17	4	2	11	-13	14
13	Celta	17	2	7	8	-13	13
14	Espanol	17	3	4	10	-13	13
15	Valencia	17	3	4	10	-18	13
16	Leganes	17	2	6	9	-14	12
17	Eibar	17	2	6	9	-15	12
18	Betis	17	1	7	9	-16	10
19	Alaves	17	2	3	12	-25	9
20	Mallorca	17	1	2	14	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.