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Championship

Referee: K Stroud

Fulham

T T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Middlesbrough

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Peterboro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Peterboro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
11	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.