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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Livingston
T T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · Aberdeen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hearts 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Rangers 2 1 0 1 +2 3
3 Aberdeen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hibernian 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Dundee United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
6 Dundee 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Ross County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 ST Johnstone 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 St Mirren 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Motherwell 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Celtic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Livingston 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Aberdeen
Craig Sibbald 🟨
26′
1–0 B. Anderson
J. Penrice
35′
44′
🔁 S. Brown
↦ J. Hayes
Half-time 1–1
47′
T. Jenks 1–1
James Penrice 🟨
52′
J. Hamilton 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
59′
63′
🔁 C. Ramírez
↦ N. McGinn
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
66′
G. Reilly 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
72′
Nicky Devlin 🟨
80′
Jackson Longridge 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 C. Ramsay
↦ J. Gurr
Scott Pitman 🟨
92′
94′
J. MacKenzie 1–2
R. Hedges
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
3 J. Longridge D
5 J. Fitzwater D
29 J. Penrice M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald F
17 A. Forrest F
8 S. Pittman M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (5)
23 J. Hamilton
24 S. Kelly
20 G. Reilly
4 T. Parkes
1 D. Barden

Coach: D. Martindale

Aberdeen

4-1-4-1
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
5 D. Gallagher D
3 J. MacKenzie D
21 J. Gurr D
17 J. Hayes M
10 N. McGinn M
15 D. McGeouch M
11 R. Hedges M
20 T. Jenks M
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas F
Bench (7)
8 S. Brown
9 C. Ramírez
22 C. Ramsay
2 R. McCrorie
28 M. Ruth
25 G. Woods
24 D. Campbell

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U
3,04
B ✓
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,43
U2,5
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.