Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Chelsea
Fulham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | +47 | 80 |
| 2 |
Man United
|
33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | +29 | 67 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | +22 | 63 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 5 |
West Ham
|
33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | +10 | 55 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 |
Tottenham
|
33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | +18 | 53 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |
Leeds
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | -2 | 47 |
| 10 |
Arsenal
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | +7 | 46 |
| 11 |
Aston Villa
|
32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | +9 | 45 |
| 12 |
Wolves
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -22 | 38 |
| 14 |
Brighton
|
34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 37 |
| 15 |
Southampton
|
33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | -18 | 37 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 |
Newcastle
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -18 | 36 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -18 | 27 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -34 | 25 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
33 | 5 | 2 | 26 | -38 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Christensen
D
B. Chilwell
M
R. James
M
M. Mount
M
K. Havertz
F
B. Gilmour
M
Coach: T. Tuchel
A. Areola
G
J. Andersen
D
O. Aina
D
T. Adarabioyo
D
A. Robinson
D
M. Lemina
M
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
A. Lookman
M
J. Maja
F
Coach: S. Parker
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
West Ham
Chelsea
Chelsea
Brighton
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Chelsea
West Brom
Leeds
Chelsea
K Friend · 55 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.