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Premier League
Referee: K Friend
Chelsea
U T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Fulham
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
48%
15%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
42%
33%
Both score Ø 41%
39%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 8
7 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chelsea 4. · Fulham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 34 25 5 4 +47 80
2 Man United 33 19 10 4 +29 67
3 Leicester 34 19 6 9 +22 63
4 Chelsea 33 16 10 7 +20 58
5 West Ham 33 16 7 10 +10 55
6 Liverpool 33 15 9 9 +16 54
7 Tottenham 33 15 8 10 +18 53
8 Everton 32 15 7 10 +4 52
9 Leeds 34 14 5 15 -2 47
10 Arsenal 33 13 7 13 +7 46
11 Aston Villa 32 13 6 13 +9 45
12 Wolves 33 11 8 14 -13 41
13 Crystal Palace 33 10 8 15 -22 38
14 Brighton 34 8 13 13 -4 37
15 Southampton 33 10 7 16 -18 37
16 Burnley 33 9 9 15 -15 36
17 Newcastle 33 9 9 15 -18 36
18 Fulham 33 5 12 16 -18 27
19 West Brom 33 5 10 18 -34 25
20 Sheffield United 33 5 2 26 -38 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chelsea Fulham
1–0 K. Havertz
M. Mount
10′
Kurt Zouma 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Kai Havertz ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
2–0 K. Havertz
T. Werner
49′
N. Kanté 🔁
↦ H. Ziyech
66′
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ M. Mount
76′
78′
🔁 J. Onomah
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
78′
🔁 F. Carvalho
↦ M. Lemina
Marcos Alonso 🔁
↦ B. Chilwell
81′
81′
🔁 A. Mitrović
↦ J. Maja
90′
🟨 Ola Aina
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
16 E. Mendy G
6 Thiago Silva D
15 K. Zouma D
4 A. Christensen D
21 B. Chilwell M
24 R. James M
22 H. Ziyech F
19 M. Mount M
29 K. Havertz F
23 B. Gilmour M
11 T. Werner F
Bench (9)
7 N. Kanté
9 T. Abraham
3 Marcos Alonso
10 C. Pulisic
28 Azpilicueta
20 C. Hudson-Odoi
1 Kepa
55 F. Anjorin
5 Jorginho

Coach: T. Tuchel

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 A. Areola G
5 J. Andersen D
34 O. Aina D
16 T. Adarabioyo D
33 A. Robinson D
18 M. Lemina M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
29 A. Zambo Anguissa M
17 Ivan Cavaleiro M
19 A. Lookman M
27 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
25 J. Onomah
48 F. Carvalho
9 A. Mitrović
4 D. Odoi
2 K. Tete
3 M. Hector
12 M. Rodák
13 T. Ream
23 J. Bryan

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,27
B
7,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Friend · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.