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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Montpellier
T T S U S
2–3
Full-time
Marseille
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 11
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
5 Lille 1 0 1 0 +0 1
6 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Lyon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Lorient 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -21 Montpellier – Marseille 3–3 6. Jan -21 Marseille – Montpellier 3–1 21. Sep -19 Marseille – Montpellier 1–1 24. May -19 Marseille – Montpellier 1–0 4. Nov -18 Montpellier – Marseille 3–0

Match report

Montpellier Marseille
0–1 Luan Peres ⚽
own goal
30′
1–1 G. Laborde ⚽
N. Cozza
34′
44′
🟨 Luan Peres
Half-time 1–1
S. Mavididi 🔁
↦ E. Wahi
63′
63′
🔁 D. Benedetto
↦ Gerson
68′
⚽ C. Ünder 1–2
K. De La Fuente
75′
⚽ D. Payet 1–3
80′
⚽ D. Payet 1–4
P. Gueye
B. Makouana 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
83′
L. Leroy 🔁
↦ J. Chotard
84′
86′
🔁 Luis Henrique
↦ C. Ünder
M. Ristić 🔁
↦ N. Cozza
88′
A. Souquet 🔁
↦ S. Sambia
88′
89′
🔁 C. Dieng
↦ K. De La Fuente
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
16 D. Bertaud G
31 N. Cozza D
26 Thuler D
34 M. Esteve D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
6 S. Sambia D
13 J. Chotard M
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde M
21 E. Wahi M
Bench (9)
19 S. Mavididi
28 B. Makouana
18 L. Leroy
7 M. Ristić
2 A. Souquet
35 S. Delaye
32 P. Škuletić
30 Matis Carvalho
22 M. Suárez

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Marseille

3-2-4-1
30 S. Mandanda G
14 Luan Peres D
4 B. Kamara M
5 L. Balerdi D
2 W. Saliba D
10 D. Payet F
8 Gerson M
17 C. Ünder F
6 M. Guendouzi M
22 P. Gueye M
20 K. De La Fuente F
Bench (9)
9 D. Benedetto
11 Luis Henrique
12 C. Dieng
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
26 O. Targhalline
23 J. Amavi
7 N. Radonjić
39 B. Nadir
21 V. Rongier

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
🔒
U
3,47
🔒
B ✓
2,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,87
🔒
U2,5
1,95
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.