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Super League
Referee: F San
Luzern
U T T T U
1–3
Full-time
Zurich
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Super League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 18
12 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 11
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 9. · Zurich 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Zurich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Lugano 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 St. Gallen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
5 Young Boys 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 Grasshoppers 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Servette 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Sion 3 1 0 2 -5 3
9 Luzern 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Lausanne 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Apr -21 Luzern – Zurich 3–1 4. Mar -21 Zurich – Luzern 1–2 16. Dec -20 Luzern – Zurich 0–0 7. Nov -20 Zurich – Luzern 2–0 31. Jul -20 Luzern – Zurich 2–1

Match report

Luzern Zurich
1–0 F. Ugrinic ⚽
5′
Dejan Sorgic 🟨
15′
35′
⚽ M. Kryeziu 1–1
Adrià Guerrero
Filip Ugrinic 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Fidan Aliti
Varol Tasar 🟨
42′
44′
⚽ B. Kramer 1–2
45′
🟨 Ousmane Doumbia
Half-time 1–2
Jordy Wehrmann 🟨
51′
Y. Alounga 🔁
↦ V. Tasar
55′
D. Domgjoni 🔁
↦ H. Badstuber
55′
L. Emini 🔁
↦ J. Wehrmann
55′
61′
🔁 M. Hornschuh
↦ O. Doumbia
61′
🔁 A. Gogia
↦ B. Kramer
75′
⚽ A. Marchesano 1–3
76′
🔁 F. Rohner
↦ A. Marchesano
77′
🟨 Mirlind Kryeziu
N. Rupp 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
80′
S. Sidler 🔁
↦ P. Farkas
80′
Christian Gentner 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Assan Ceesay
91′
🔁 S. Seiler
↦ B. Krasniqi
91′
🔁 W. Gnonto
↦ A. Ceesay
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Luzern

4-4-2
90 V. Vasić G
28 H. Badstuber D
29 P. Farkas D
13 M. Frýdek D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
16 V. Tasar M
6 J. Wehrmann M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye F
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
22 Y. Alounga
66 D. Domgjoni
31 L. Emini
41 N. Rupp
34 S. Sidler
17 S. Grether
38 P. Loretz

Coach: F. Celestini

Zurich

3-4-1-2
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević M
6 F. Aliti D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
4 B. Omeragić D
10 A. Marchesano F
20 O. Doumbia M
7 B. Krasniqi M
9 A. Ceesay F
18 B. Kramer F
Bench (7)
16 M. Hornschuh
39 A. Gogia
23 F. Rohner
33 S. Seiler
22 W. Gnonto
1 Ž. Kostadinović
29 R. Pollero

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.