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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
4–0
Full-time
Regensburg
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
80%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Regensburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 5 4 0 1 +12 12
2 Darmstadt 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Heidenheim 5 3 1 1 +6 10
4 Kaiserslautern 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Hamburg 5 3 0 2 +3 9
6 Hansa Rostock 5 3 0 2 -1 9
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Holstein Kiel 5 2 2 1 -1 8
9 Hannover 5 2 1 2 +2 7
10 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 St Pauli 5 2 1 2 +1 7
12 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -1 7
13 Regensburg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Sandhausen 5 2 0 3 -1 6
15 Greuther Furth 5 0 3 2 -4 3
16 Magdeburg 5 1 0 4 -8 3
17 Bielefeld 5 0 1 4 -7 1
18 Braunschweig 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Regensburg
Andre Hoffmann 🟨
1′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Ginczek
D. Kownacki
59′
64′
🟨 Leon Guwara
65′
🔁 S. Kennedy
↦ L. Guwara
2–0 D. Kownacki
65′
S. Appelkamp 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
66′
C. Klarer 🔁
↦ A. Hoffmann
66′
69′
🟨 Benedikt Gimber
Shinta Karl Appelkamp 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 P. Owusu
↦ N. Shipnoski
74′
🔁 C. Makridis
↦ A. Yildirim
3–0 F. Klaus
D. Ginczek
78′
K. Baah 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
84′
E. Iyoha 🔁
↦ D. Kownacki
84′
R. Hennings 🔁
↦ D. Ginczek
84′
85′
🔁 K. Caliskaner
↦ A. Albers
85′
🔁 C. Viet
↦ J. Mees
4–0 S. Appelkamp
85′
89′
🟨 Jan Elvedi
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
30 J. de Wijs D
34 N. Gavory D
29 J. Hendrix M
31 M. Sobottka M
11 F. Klaus M
9 D. Kownacki M
7 K. Peterson M
10 D. Ginczek F
Bench (9)
23 S. Appelkamp
5 C. Klarer
14 K. Baah
19 E. Iyoha
28 R. Hennings
15 T. Oberdorf
4 A. Tanaka
1 R. Wolf
8 M. Karbownik

Coach: D. Thioune

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
1 D. Stojanovic G
11 K. Faber D
23 S. Breitkreuz D
33 J. Elvedi D
20 L. Guwara D
8 M. Thalhammer M
5 B. Gimber M
7 N. Shipnoski M
19 A. Albers M
29 J. Mees M
18 A. Yildirim F
Bench (8)
24 S. Kennedy
9 P. Owusu
26 C. Makridis
10 K. Caliskaner
30 C. Viet
27 L. Günther
32 A. Weidinger
22 M. Gouras

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,97
B
4,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.