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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

Hamburg

S S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

4,7

Scored

1,5

3,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

4,2

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 4. · Karlsruhe 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	5	1	1	+13	16
2	Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Darmstadt	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Hamburg	6	4	0	2	+5	12
5	Holstein Kiel	7	3	3	1	+0	12
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+4	11
7	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Hannover	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	St Pauli	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-3	9
12	Regensburg	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	Sandhausen	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Bielefeld	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Greuther Furth	7	0	4	3	-5	4
17	Magdeburg	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Darmstadt	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Heidenheim	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Holstein Kiel	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Regensburg	4	1	2	1	-4	5
13	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	-4	5
5	Kaiserslautern	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Magdeburg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Hannover	3	1	0	2	+1	3
12	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	St Pauli	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.