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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
Karlsruhe
T S S T U
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 10. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 13 8 4 1 +10 28
2 Paderborn 13 8 2 3 +20 26
3 Hamburg 12 8 1 3 +7 25
4 Hannover 13 6 3 4 +5 21
5 Heidenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
6 Holstein Kiel 13 5 5 3 +0 20
7 Kaiserslautern 13 4 7 2 +2 19
8 Regensburg 13 5 3 5 -4 18
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 5 2 5 +5 17
10 Karlsruhe 12 5 2 5 +4 17
11 Braunschweig 13 4 4 5 -6 16
12 St Pauli 13 3 5 5 -1 14
13 Nurnberg 13 4 2 7 -9 14
14 Hansa Rostock 13 4 2 7 -9 14
15 Sandhausen 13 3 3 7 -6 12
16 Bielefeld 13 3 2 8 -7 11
17 Greuther Furth 12 1 7 4 -5 10
18 Magdeburg 12 3 1 8 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Fortuna Dusseldorf
8′
K. Peterson 0–1
D. Kownacki
22′
K. Peterson 0–2
M. Karbownik
Half-time 0–2
S. Rapp 🔁
↦ P. Nebel
46′
Sebastian Jung 🟨
54′
Choi Kyoung-Rok 🔁
↦ K. Arase
64′
M. Batmaz 🔁
↦ T. Breithaupt
75′
M. Kaufmann 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
76′
78′
🔁 Elione Neto
↦ S. Appelkamp
82′
🔁 R. Hennings
↦ E. Iyoha
L. Jensen 🔁
↦ J. Gondorf
85′
88′
🔁 M. Mansfeld
↦ K. Peterson
88′
🔁 B. Böckle
↦ D. Kownacki
88′
🔁 A. Bodzek
↦ A. Tanaka
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
15 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
26 P. Nebel M
24 F. Schleusener F
36 K. Arase F
Bench (9)
7 S. Rapp
11 Choi Kyoung-Rok
9 M. Batmaz
14 M. Kaufmann
6 L. Jensen
21 M. Thiede
4 F. Ballas
22 C. Kobald
1 K. Eisele

Coach: C. Eichner

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-3-1-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
5 C. Klarer D
15 T. Oberdorf D
8 M. Karbownik D
7 K. Peterson M
31 M. Sobottka M
23 S. Appelkamp M
4 A. Tanaka M
19 E. Iyoha F
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (8)
46 Elione Neto
28 R. Hennings
44 M. Mansfeld
22 B. Böckle
13 A. Bodzek
1 R. Wolf
35 D. Bunk
14 K. Baah

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U
3,51
B ✓
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.