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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Holstein Kiel

T U S S U

1–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

62%

Both score Ø 66%

77%

54%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 7. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	13	8	4	1	+10	28
2	Paderborn	13	8	2	3	+20	26
3	Hamburg	13	8	1	4	+6	25
4	Heidenheim	14	6	6	2	+8	24
5	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+5	21
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	2	5	+7	20
7	Holstein Kiel	13	5	5	3	+0	20
8	Kaiserslautern	13	4	7	2	+2	19
9	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	-4	18
10	Karlsruhe	13	5	2	6	+2	17
11	Braunschweig	13	4	4	5	-6	16
12	St Pauli	13	3	5	5	-1	14
13	Nurnberg	13	4	2	7	-9	14
14	Hansa Rostock	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Magdeburg	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	Greuther Furth	14	2	7	5	-6	13
17	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-6	12
18	Bielefeld	14	3	2	9	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	6	0	1	+18	18
2	Darmstadt	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Heidenheim	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	St Pauli	6	3	3	0	+7	12
6	Regensburg	7	3	3	1	-1	12
7	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Greuther Furth	8	2	5	1	+0	11
11	Karlsruhe	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
13	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
14	Bielefeld	6	3	0	3	+1	9
15	Kaiserslautern	7	2	3	2	-2	9
16	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-2	9
17	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Magdeburg	7	2	1	4	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Darmstadt	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Kaiserslautern	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Hannover	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	Heidenheim	8	2	4	2	+1	10
6	Holstein Kiel	7	2	3	2	-5	9
7	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Karlsruhe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	1	4	-2	7
10	Magdeburg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Regensburg	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Hansa Rostock	6	1	2	3	-7	5
14	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Greuther Furth	6	0	2	4	-6	2
16	Sandhausen	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	St Pauli	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Bielefeld	8	0	2	6	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.