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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
1–0
Full-time
St Pauli
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. · St Pauli 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 15 9 5 1 +11 32
2 Hamburg 14 9 1 4 +7 28
3 Paderborn 14 8 2 4 +19 26
4 Heidenheim 14 6 6 2 +8 24
5 Hannover 15 7 3 5 +5 24
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 7 2 5 +8 23
7 Kaiserslautern 14 4 8 2 +2 20
8 Holstein Kiel 14 5 5 4 -1 20
9 Regensburg 14 5 3 6 -7 18
10 Karlsruhe 14 5 2 7 +1 17
11 Braunschweig 14 4 5 5 -6 17
12 Hansa Rostock 15 5 2 8 -7 17
13 Sandhausen 15 4 4 7 -5 16
14 St Pauli 14 3 6 5 -1 15
15 Nurnberg 14 4 3 7 -9 15
16 Magdeburg 14 4 2 8 -11 14
17 Greuther Furth 14 2 7 5 -6 13
18 Bielefeld 14 3 2 9 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf St Pauli
1–0 R. Hennings
D. Kownacki
22′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟥 Betim Fazliji
Christoph Klarer 🟨
59′
Rouwen Hennings 🟨
66′
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ K. Peterson
66′
K. Baah 🔁
↦ D. Kownacki
67′
69′
🔁 L. Zander
↦ M. Saliakas
70′
🔁 D. Otto
↦ L. Daschner
70′
🔁 C. Metcalfe
↦ A. Aremu
75′
🟨 Connor Metcalfe
A. Bodzek 🔁
↦ S. Appelkamp
78′
82′
🔁 J. Eggestein
↦ M. Hartel
82′
🔁 I. Matanović
↦ E. Amenyido
A. Hoffmann 🔁
↦ E. Iyoha
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-1-4-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
5 C. Klarer D
15 T. Oberdorf D
29 J. Hendrix M
7 K. Peterson M
8 M. Karbownik M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha M
28 R. Hennings F
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
11 F. Klaus
14 K. Baah
13 A. Bodzek
3 A. Hoffmann
35 D. Bunk
46 Elione Neto
1 R. Wolf
44 M. Mansfeld
22 B. Böckle

Coach: D. Thioune

St Pauli

3-5-2
22 N. Vasilj G
25 A. Dźwigała D
8 E. Smith D
5 B. Fazliji D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
20 A. Aremu M
10 M. Hartel M
23 L. Paqarada M
14 E. Amenyido F
13 L. Daschner F
Bench (9)
19 L. Zander
27 D. Otto
24 C. Metcalfe
11 J. Eggestein
34 I. Matanović
15 M. Beifus
16 C. Boukhalfa
21 L. Ritzka
30 S. Burchert

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,57
B
3,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.