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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Paderborn

U S U S U

0–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 38%

48%

27%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

73%

45%

Both score Ø 47%

58%

36%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,1

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

23 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 5. · Nurnberg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	33	20	7	6	+21	67
2	Heidenheim	33	18	10	5	+30	64
3	Hamburg	33	19	6	8	+24	63
4	St Pauli	33	16	9	8	+16	57
5	Paderborn	33	16	7	10	+25	55
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	33	16	7	10	+14	55
7	Karlsruhe	33	13	6	14	+3	45
8	Kaiserslautern	33	11	12	10	+2	45
9	Hannover	33	12	8	13	-1	44
10	Holstein Kiel	33	11	10	12	-7	43
11	Magdeburg	33	11	7	15	-11	40
12	Greuther Furth	33	9	11	13	-7	38
13	Hansa Rostock	33	11	5	17	-17	38
14	Braunschweig	33	9	9	15	-16	36
15	Nurnberg	33	9	9	15	-18	36
16	Bielefeld	33	9	7	17	-8	34
17	Regensburg	33	8	7	18	-23	31
18	Sandhausen	33	7	7	19	-27	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	17	12	4	1	+25	40
2	Darmstadt	17	11	5	1	+14	38
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	11	4	2	+19	37
4	Paderborn	16	12	0	4	+27	36
5	Hamburg	17	11	3	3	+18	36
6	St Pauli	16	9	6	1	+13	33
7	Karlsruhe	17	9	3	5	+7	30
8	Greuther Furth	16	7	7	2	+5	28
9	Hannover	16	8	3	5	+5	27
10	Nurnberg	17	7	4	6	+1	25
11	Kaiserslautern	16	6	6	4	+3	24
12	Braunschweig	17	7	3	7	+1	24
13	Holstein Kiel	17	6	4	7	+0	22
14	Bielefeld	17	5	4	8	-1	19
15	Magdeburg	16	5	4	7	-3	19
16	Regensburg	16	4	7	5	-10	19
17	Hansa Rostock	16	5	1	10	-8	16
18	Sandhausen	16	4	4	8	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	16	9	2	5	+7	29
2	Hamburg	16	8	3	5	+6	27
3	Heidenheim	16	6	6	4	+5	24
4	St Pauli	17	7	3	7	+3	24
5	Hansa Rostock	17	6	4	7	-9	22
6	Kaiserslautern	17	5	6	6	-1	21
7	Holstein Kiel	16	5	6	5	-7	21
8	Magdeburg	17	6	3	8	-8	21
9	Paderborn	17	4	7	6	-2	19
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	3	8	-5	18
11	Hannover	17	4	5	8	-6	17
12	Karlsruhe	16	4	3	9	-4	15
13	Bielefeld	16	4	3	9	-7	15
14	Sandhausen	17	3	3	11	-13	12
15	Regensburg	17	4	0	13	-13	12
16	Braunschweig	16	2	6	8	-17	12
17	Nurnberg	16	2	5	9	-19	11
18	Greuther Furth	17	2	4	11	-12	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.