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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Paderborn

T S U S U

3–2

Full-time

Heidenheim

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 52%

48%

55%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

71%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 6. · Heidenheim 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	31	19	7	5	+21	64
2	Heidenheim	31	17	10	4	+30	61
3	Hamburg	31	17	6	8	+19	57
4	St Pauli	32	15	9	8	+15	54
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	16	6	10	+14	54
6	Paderborn	31	15	6	10	+24	51
7	Kaiserslautern	32	11	12	9	+4	45
8	Holstein Kiel	32	11	10	11	-6	43
9	Karlsruhe	32	12	6	14	+1	42
10	Hannover	31	11	7	13	-2	40
11	Magdeburg	32	11	7	14	-10	40
12	Greuther Furth	32	9	11	12	-6	38
13	Hansa Rostock	32	11	4	17	-17	37
14	Braunschweig	32	9	9	14	-15	36
15	Nurnberg	32	9	8	15	-18	35
16	Bielefeld	32	9	6	17	-8	33
17	Regensburg	31	7	7	17	-20	28
18	Sandhausen	32	7	7	18	-26	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	16	11	4	1	+24	37
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	11	3	2	+19	36
3	Darmstadt	16	10	5	1	+13	35
4	Paderborn	15	11	0	4	+26	33
5	Hamburg	16	10	3	3	+17	33
6	St Pauli	16	9	6	1	+13	33
7	Greuther Furth	16	7	7	2	+5	28
8	Karlsruhe	16	8	3	5	+5	27
9	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Kaiserslautern	16	6	6	4	+3	24
11	Braunschweig	16	7	3	6	+2	24
12	Nurnberg	16	7	3	6	+1	24
13	Holstein Kiel	16	6	4	6	+1	22
14	Magdeburg	16	5	4	7	-3	19
15	Regensburg	15	4	7	4	-6	19
16	Bielefeld	16	5	3	8	-1	18
17	Hansa Rostock	16	5	1	10	-8	16
18	Sandhausen	16	4	4	8	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	15	9	2	4	+8	29
2	Heidenheim	15	6	6	3	+6	24
3	Hamburg	15	7	3	5	+2	24
4	St Pauli	16	6	3	7	+2	21
5	Kaiserslautern	16	5	6	5	+1	21
6	Magdeburg	16	6	3	7	-7	21
7	Holstein Kiel	16	5	6	5	-7	21
8	Hansa Rostock	16	6	3	7	-9	21
9	Paderborn	16	4	6	6	-2	18
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	3	8	-5	18
11	Hannover	16	4	4	8	-6	16
12	Karlsruhe	16	4	3	9	-4	15
13	Bielefeld	16	4	3	9	-7	15
14	Sandhausen	16	3	3	10	-12	12
15	Braunschweig	16	2	6	8	-17	12
16	Nurnberg	16	2	5	9	-19	11
17	Greuther Furth	16	2	4	10	-11	10
18	Regensburg	16	3	0	13	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.