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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Hempel
Greuther Furth
T U U T S
5–0
Full-time
Paderborn
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

64% Possession 36%
24 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -23 Paderborn – Greuther Furth 3–2 18. Sep -22 Greuther Furth – Paderborn 2–1 16. May -21 Paderborn – Greuther Furth 2–4 15. Jan -21 Greuther Furth – Paderborn 1–1

Match report

Greuther Furth Paderborn
7′
ℹ️ Visar Musliu
VAR: Card upgrade
8′
🟥 Visar Musliu
A. Sieb 🔁
↦ D. Srbeny
10′
Maximilian Dietz 🟨
14′
1–0 B. Hrgota ⚽
A. Sieb
35′
2–0 T. Lemperle ⚽
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Heuer
↦ M. Kruse
46′
🔁 S. Conteh
↦ D. Kinsombi
3–0 B. Hrgota ⚽
J. Green
48′
4–0 A. Sieb ⚽
T. Lemperle
65′
L. Petkov 🔁
↦ T. Lemperle
66′
67′
🔁 L. Curda
↦ R. Obermair
K. Çalhanoğlu 🔁
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
76′
D. Michalski 🔁
↦ M. Dietz
76′
76′
🔁 S. Klaas
↦ K. Klefisch
76′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ F. Muslija
J. Consbruch 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
77′
5–0 D. Michalski ⚽
K. Çalhanoğlu
77′
83′
🟨 Jannis Heuer
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-5-2
40 J. Urbig G
33 M. Dietz D
23 G. Jung D
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
10 B. Hrgota M
22 R. Wagner M
37 J. Green M
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
7 D. Srbeny F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
30 A. Sieb
16 L. Petkov
21 K. Çalhanoğlu
4 D. Michalski
14 J. Consbruch
3 O. Mhamdi
6 S. Raebiger
31 D. Angleberger
25 L. Schaffran

Coach: A. Zorniger

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
21 J. Huth G
16 V. Musliu D
31 M. Rohr D
33 M. Hoffmeier D
23 R. Obermair M
8 D. Kinsombi M
27 K. Klefisch M
19 K. Ezekwem M
7 F. Bilbija F
30 F. Muslija F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (9)
24 J. Heuer
11 S. Conteh
17 L. Curda
26 S. Klaas
22 M. Hansen
1 P. Boevink
6 M. Schuster
15 T. Müller
40 N. Nadj

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
🔒
U
3,54
🔒
B
2,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,62
🔒
U2,5
2,26
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.