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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Magdeburg
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Paderborn
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,8
3,5
Scored
2,8
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 5. · Paderborn 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 4 1 1 +9 13
2 Hamburg 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Holstein Kiel 6 4 0 2 -1 12
4 Hannover 6 3 2 1 +9 11
5 Magdeburg 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 St Pauli 6 2 4 0 +5 10
7 Kaiserslautern 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Hansa Rostock 6 3 0 3 -1 9
9 Karlsruhe 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Wehen 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Nurnberg 6 2 2 2 -2 8
12 Schalke 04 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Elversberg 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Paderborn 6 2 1 3 -5 7
15 Hertha 6 2 0 4 +1 6
16 Greuther Furth 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 -6 4
18 Osnabruck 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Paderborn
Jean Hugonet 🟨
20′
J. Lawrence 🔁
↦ J. Hugonet
23′
34′
A. Grimaldi 0–1
F. Platte
35′
ℹ️ Adriano Grimaldi
VAR: Goal confirmed
Herbert Bockhorn 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 Tobias Müller
Connor Krempicki 🟨
68′
L. Castaignos 🔁
↦ L. Schuler
70′
A. Arslan 🔁
↦ J. Çeka
70′
A. Condé 🔁
↦ C. Krempicki
71′
74′
🔁 S. Klaas
↦ F. Platte
74′
🔁 S. Conteh
↦ A. Grimaldi
T. Ito 🔁
↦ A. Hoti
81′
84′
🔁 K. Ezekwem
↦ F. Muslija
84′
🔁 J. Heuer
↦ M. Hansen
1–1 L. Castaignos
B. Atik
85′
89′
🔁 N. Nadj
↦ I. Ansah
Cristiano Piccini 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Reimann G
2 C. Piccini D
24 J. Hugonet D
3 A. Hoti D
7 H. Bockhorn M
25 S. Gnaka M
13 C. Krempicki M
19 L. Bell Bell M
10 J. Çeka F
23 B. Atik F
26 L. Schuler F
Bench (9)
5 J. Lawrence
9 L. Castaignos
8 A. Arslan
29 A. Condé
37 T. Ito
16 J. Fabisch
42 J. Pollersbeck
17 A. Nollenberger
20 X. Amaechi

Coach: C. Titz

Paderborn

3-4-3
21 J. Huth G
6 M. Schuster D
15 T. Müller D
33 M. Hoffmeier D
23 R. Obermair M
22 M. Hansen M
27 K. Klefisch M
30 F. Muslija M
36 F. Platte F
39 A. Grimaldi F
29 I. Ansah F
Bench (9)
26 S. Klaas
11 S. Conteh
19 K. Ezekwem
24 J. Heuer
40 N. Nadj
10 M. Kruse
8 D. Kinsombi
17 L. Curda
1 P. Boevink

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,93
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,43
U2,5 ✓
2,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.