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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Palermo
T U S S S
0–1
Full-time
Cosenza
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 48%
75%
20%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 43%
25%
60%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 3. · Cosenza 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 Venezia 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +6 10
4 Modena 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Catanzaro 5 3 1 1 +0 10
6 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 +4 8
7 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +0 8
8 Bari 5 1 4 0 +1 7
9 Como 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 Cremonese 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Cosenza 5 1 2 2 +1 5
12 Pisa 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Reggiana 5 0 3 2 -3 3
15 Ascoli 5 1 0 4 -4 3
16 Ternana 5 0 1 4 -4 1
17 Spezia 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 FeralpiSalo 5 0 1 4 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Cosenza
-5′
🟨 Gennaro Tutino
Half-time 0–0
K. Lund 🔁
↦ G. Aurelio
46′
53′
🔁 F. Sgarbi
↦ A. Meroni
58′
🟨 Tommaso D'Orazio
C. Gomes 🔁
↦ L. Štulac
67′
A. Vasić 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
67′
69′
🔁 M. Viviani
↦ F. Zuccon
70′
🔁 A. Rispoli
↦ B. Cimino
R. Insigne 🔁
↦ F. Di Mariano
76′
L. Mancuso 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
81′
85′
🔁 L. Canotto
↦ M. Marras
85′
🔁 I. Voca
↦ G. Tutino
Jacopo Segre 🟨
89′
91′
L. Canotto 0–1
I. Voca
92′
🟨 Luigi Canotto
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Palermo

4-3-3
22 M. Pigliacelli G
37 A. Matějů D
5 F. Lucioni D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
31 G. Aurelio D
53 L. Henderson M
6 L. Štulac M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Di Mariano F
9 M. Brunori F
17 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (12)
3 K. Lund
4 C. Gomes
20 A. Vasić
11 R. Insigne
7 L. Mancuso
13 A. Kanurić
27 E. Soleri
1 S. Desplanches
15 I. Marconi
2 S. Graves
18 I. Nedelcearu
80 M. Coulibaly

Coach: E. Corini

Cosenza

4-4-2
1 A. Micai G
17 B. Cimino D
13 A. Meroni D
23 M. Venturi D
11 T. D'Orazio D
7 M. Marras M
98 F. Zuccon M
14 G. Calò M
30 S. Mazzocchi M
10 F. Forte F
9 G. Tutino F
Bench (12)
2 F. Sgarbi
24 M. Viviani
3 A. Rispoli
31 L. Canotto
42 I. Voca
33 D. La Vardera
6 A. Fontanarosa
26 M. Praszelik
20 A. Arioli
34 A. Florenzi
77 L. Marson
19 V. Crespi

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U
3,55
B ✓
4,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.