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2. Bundesliga
Referee: N Winter
Holstein Kiel
T S S S S
2–4
Full-time
Magdeburg
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 4. · Magdeburg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Wehen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Hansa Rostock 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Holstein Kiel 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Hannover 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 St Pauli 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Greuther Furth 3 1 1 1 +4 4
8 Magdeburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Karlsruhe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Paderborn 3 1 1 1 -4 4
12 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Kaiserslautern 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Osnabruck 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Elversberg 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Nurnberg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Braunschweig 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Hertha 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Holstein Kiel Magdeburg
2′
L. Schuler 0–1
21′
J. Hugonet 0–2
A. Condé
1–2 S. Skrzybski
32′
Half-time 1–2
H. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ B. Pichler
46′
L. Holtby 🔁
↦ M. Ivezić
46′
2–2 P. Sander
50′
63′
🔁 L. Castaignos
↦ J. Çeka
63′
🔁 E. Džogović
↦ M. El Hankouri
63′
🔁 J. Lawrence
↦ C. Piccini
64′
🔁 S. Gnaka
↦ A. Condé
68′
L. Castaignos 2–3
L. Bell Bell
B. Simakala 🔁
↦ P. Erras
76′
N. Remberg 🔁
↦ P. Sander
76′
78′
🔁 A. Arslan
↦ L. Schuler
79′
🟨 Daniel Heber
J. Arp 🔁
↦ S. Skrzybski
86′
Lewis Holtby 🟨
90′
91′
A. Arslan 2–4
B. Atik
94′
🟨 Jamie Lawrence
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

3-4-1-2
21 T. Dähne G
15 M. Schulz D
4 P. Erras D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
32 J. Sterner M
6 M. Ivezić M
16 P. Sander M
18 T. Rothe M
7 S. Skrzybski F
9 B. Pichler F
13 S. Machino F
Bench (9)
19 H. Friðjónsson
10 L. Holtby
11 B. Simakala
22 N. Remberg
20 J. Arp
1 T. Weiner
3 M. Komenda
28 A. Wagbe
8 F. Porath

Coach: M. Rapp

Magdeburg

3-3-1-3
1 D. Reimann G
2 C. Piccini D
6 Daniel Elfadli D
15 D. Heber D
11 M. El Hankouri M
24 J. Hugonet M
19 L. Bell Bell M
29 A. Condé M
10 J. Çeka F
26 L. Schuler F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
9 L. Castaignos
4 E. Džogović
5 J. Lawrence
25 S. Gnaka
8 A. Arslan
42 J. Pollersbeck
13 C. Krempicki
17 A. Nollenberger
37 T. Ito

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,63
B ✓
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,46
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Winter · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.