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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Hartmann

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U S S U S

1–2

Full-time

Paderborn

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,5

3,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

26 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

11 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Paderborn 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wehen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Hansa Rostock	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Kaiserslautern	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Hannover	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Osnabruck	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Elversberg	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wehen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Wehen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Osnabruck	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Magdeburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.