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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Waschitzki

Paderborn

S S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Magdeburg

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Magdeburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

5,5

4,5

Scored

4,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

3,2

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-1,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,7

4,3

Scored

3,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

26 Shots 6

13 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 12

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Paderborn 2. · Magdeburg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	+7	14
2	Paderborn	6	4	1	1	+12	13
3	Darmstadt	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Hamburg	6	4	0	2	+5	12
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Holstein Kiel	6	3	2	1	+0	11
8	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Hannover	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-3	9
11	St Pauli	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Regensburg	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	Sandhausen	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Bielefeld	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Magdeburg	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Darmstadt	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Heidenheim	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Holstein Kiel	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Braunschweig	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	-4	4
14	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Greuther Furth	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+3	7
3	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Kaiserslautern	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Magdeburg	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Holstein Kiel	3	1	1	1	-4	4
11	Hannover	3	1	0	2	+1	3
12	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.