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2. Bundesliga
Referee: N Winter
Magdeburg
U S T S S
0–0
Full-time
Paderborn
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 44%
35%
52%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
65%
70%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
52%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 13. · Paderborn 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 23 14 7 2 +19 49
2 Hamburg 23 15 3 5 +18 48
3 Heidenheim 23 13 7 3 +20 46
4 Paderborn 23 12 3 8 +18 39
5 Kaiserslautern 24 10 9 5 +7 39
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 23 12 2 9 +8 38
7 St Pauli 23 9 8 6 +5 35
8 Holstein Kiel 23 8 9 6 +2 33
9 Karlsruhe 23 9 4 10 +2 31
10 Hannover 23 8 6 9 +1 30
11 Nurnberg 24 8 4 12 -15 28
12 Greuther Furth 23 6 9 8 -6 27
13 Magdeburg 23 8 3 12 -11 27
14 Hansa Rostock 23 7 3 13 -13 24
15 Braunschweig 24 5 7 12 -14 22
16 Bielefeld 23 6 3 14 -7 21
17 Sandhausen 24 5 6 13 -17 21
18 Regensburg 23 5 5 13 -17 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Sep -22 Paderborn – Magdeburg 1–0

Match report

Magdeburg Paderborn
Mo El Hankouri 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
C. Piccini 🔁
↦ S. Gnaka
46′
Luc Castaignos 🟨
58′
M. Ullmann 🔁
↦ M. El Hankouri
61′
T. Ito 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
61′
64′
🔁 M. Schuster
↦ K. Klefisch
64′
🔁 M. Rohr
↦ F. Platte
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ J. Ceka
71′
72′
🔁 R. Tachie
↦ D. Srbeny
83′
🔁 U. Hünemeier
↦ N. Nadj
83′
🔁 J. Carls
↦ M. Schuster
89′
🟨 Marcel Hoffmeier
Amara Condé 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
7 H. Bockhorn D
15 D. Heber D
25 S. Gnaka D
11 M. El Hankouri D
8 M. Kwarteng M
6 D. Elfadli M
29 A. Condé M
10 J. Ceka F
3 L. Castaignos F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
2 C. Piccini
31 M. Ullmann
37 T. Ito
13 C. Krempicki
24 A. Bittroff
27 M. Cacutalua
22 T. Sechelmann
28 T. Boss
20 J. Rieckmann

Coach: C. Titz

Paderborn

3-4-1-2
21 J. Huth G
24 J. Heuer D
15 T. Müller D
3 B. Humphreys D
10 J. Justvan M
27 K. Klefisch M
8 R. Schallenberg M
33 M. Hoffmeier M
40 N. Nadj F
36 F. Platte F
18 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
6 M. Schuster
31 M. Rohr
7 R. Tachie
2 U. Hünemeier
28 J. Carls
4 J. van der Werff
16 P. Boevink
38 M. Kojic
32 K. Dağ

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U ✓
3,67
B
2,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Winter · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.