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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Hertha
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 32%
35%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 63%
68%
58%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
10 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 11. · Greuther Furth 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 32 15 11 6 +30 56
2 FC Koln 32 16 7 9 +10 55
3 Paderborn 32 14 10 8 +12 52
4 Magdeburg 32 13 11 8 +11 50
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 13 11 8 +5 50
6 Elversberg 31 13 10 8 +21 49
7 Hannover 32 13 10 9 +5 49
8 Kaiserslautern 31 14 7 10 +4 49
9 Karlsruhe 31 13 8 10 -1 47
10 Nurnberg 31 13 6 12 +3 45
11 Hertha 31 11 7 13 -1 40
12 Darmstadt 32 10 9 13 +0 39
13 Schalke 04 32 10 8 14 -7 38
14 Greuther Furth 31 9 8 14 -14 35
15 Braunschweig 32 8 11 13 -20 35
16 Preußen Münster 32 7 11 14 -5 32
17 Ulm 32 6 11 15 -7 29
18 Regensburg 32 6 6 20 -46 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Greuther Furth
1–0 F. Reese
16′
Márton Dárdai 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
Toni Leistner 🟨
51′
59′
🔁 G. Itter
↦ N. Gießelmann
59′
🔁 J. Consbruch
↦ D. Srbeny
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
63′
70′
🟨 Noah Loosli
70′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
71′
🔁 N. Futkeu
↦ N. Loosli
M. Karbownik 🔁
↦ I. Maza
79′
A. Bouchalakis 🔁
↦ D. Demme
87′
J. Þorsteinsson 🔁
↦ M. Cuisance
87′
87′
🔁 D. Kasper
↦ J. Green
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hertha

3-5-2
1 T. Ernst G
44 L. Gechter D
37 T. Leistner D
31 M. Dárdai D
16 J. Kenny M
27 M. Cuisance M
6 D. Demme M
10 I. Maza M
42 D. Zeefuik M
11 F. Reese F
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
39 D. Scherhant
33 M. Karbownik
5 A. Bouchalakis
24 J. Þorsteinsson
9 S. Prevljak
35 M. Gersbeck
8 K. Sessa
21 B. Lum
47 S. Telib

Coach: S. Leitl

Greuther Furth

3-4-2-1
44 N. Noll G
25 N. Loosli D
15 J. Quarshie D
17 N. Gießelmann D
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
33 M. Dietz M
37 J. Green M
24 M. John M
30 F. Klaus F
10 B. Hrgota F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
27 G. Itter
14 J. Consbruch
11 R. Massimo
9 N. Futkeu
40 D. Kasper
35 J. Engel
5 R. Münz
23 G. Jung
31 L. Grill

Coach: J. Siewert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
4,13
B
3,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,33
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.