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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
Paderborn
S S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Hannover
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
3,0
1,6
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 3
10 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 7. · Hannover 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 4 1 0 +6 13
2 Karlsruhe 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +7 11
4 Hamburg 5 3 1 1 +8 10
5 Hannover 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 Greuther Furth 5 2 3 0 +6 9
7 Paderborn 5 2 3 0 +3 9
8 FC Koln 5 2 1 2 +5 7
9 Hertha 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Kaiserslautern 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Elversberg 5 1 3 1 +3 6
13 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Regensburg 5 1 0 4 -12 3
15 Preußen Münster 5 0 2 3 -6 2
16 Darmstadt 5 0 2 3 -8 2
17 Ulm 5 0 1 4 -4 1
18 Braunschweig 5 0 1 4 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Hannover
Felix Götze 🟨
6′
1–0 K. Kostons
9′
19′
K. Kostons 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
47′
🟨 Enzo Leopold
67′
🔁 M. Momuluh
↦ J. Rochelt
67′
🔁 H. Nielsen
↦ N. Tresoldi
D. Kinsombi 🔁
↦ K. Kostons
68′
3–0 I. Ansah
A. Zehnter
77′
78′
🔁 F. Kunze
↦ E. Leopold
78′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ J. Ngankam
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ I. Ansah
79′
M. Baur 🔁
↦ S. Michel
79′
85′
🔁 J. Knight
↦ M. Halstenberg
Mika Baur 🟨
87′
F. Platte 🔁
↦ F. Bilbija
87′
89′
🟨 Sei Muroya
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-3
1 P. Boevink G
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija M
5 S. Castañeda M
32 A. Zehnter M
10 K. Kostons F
11 S. Michel F
29 I. Ansah F
Bench (9)
8 D. Kinsombi
39 A. Grimaldi
9 M. Baur
36 F. Platte
33 M. Hoffmeier
16 V. Musliu
30 M. Schubert
17 L. Curda
19 L. Herrmann

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Hannover

4-4-2
1 R. Zieler G
21 S. Muroya D
5 P. Neumann D
23 M. Halstenberg D
17 B. Wdowik D
11 Lee Hyun-Ju M
8 E. Leopold M
13 M. Christiansen M
10 J. Rochelt M
7 J. Ngankam F
9 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (9)
38 M. Momuluh
16 H. Nielsen
6 F. Kunze
32 A. Voglsammer
2 J. Knight
20 J. Dehm
37 B. Ezeh
25 L. Gindorf
30 L. Weinkauf

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,65
B
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.