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Ligue 2

Dunkerque

T T T U T

3–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

35%

20%

Both score Ø 33%

30%

35%

Average goals

2,1

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 1

18 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dunkerque 15. · Ajaccio 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	20	12	5	3	+14	41
2	Clermont	21	11	7	3	+21	40
3	Toulouse	20	11	6	3	+16	39
4	Auxerre	21	10	6	5	+17	36
5	Grenoble	20	10	5	5	+10	35
6	Paris FC	19	9	5	5	+6	32
7	Sochaux	20	6	10	4	+7	28
8	Amiens	20	7	7	6	+4	28
9	Caen	20	7	7	6	-2	28
10	Valenciennes	19	7	6	6	+3	27
11	Ajaccio	20	6	7	7	-6	25
12	Niort	19	7	4	8	-9	25
13	Le Havre	20	6	6	8	-8	24
14	Guingamp	20	4	9	7	-5	21
15	Dunkerque	20	6	3	11	-11	21
16	Nancy	20	4	7	9	-6	19
17	Chambly	19	4	7	8	-8	19
18	Rodez	20	3	10	7	-10	19
19	Pau FC	20	3	5	12	-16	14
20	Chateauroux	20	3	4	13	-17	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	10	8	2	0	+11	26
2	Clermont	11	7	3	1	+16	24
3	Auxerre	11	7	2	2	+17	23
4	Grenoble	9	7	2	0	+14	23
5	Toulouse	11	6	3	2	+8	21
6	Paris FC	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Caen	10	4	5	1	+1	17
8	Sochaux	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Niort	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Ajaccio	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Amiens	10	3	5	2	+1	14
12	Rodez	11	3	4	4	-3	13
13	Valenciennes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	+0	12
15	Guingamp	10	2	5	3	-1	11
16	Nancy	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Le Havre	9	2	4	3	-2	10
18	Chambly	10	3	1	6	-5	10
19	Pau FC	9	2	3	4	-4	9
20	Chateauroux	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Clermont	10	4	4	2	+5	16
3	Valenciennes	10	4	3	3	+3	15
4	Troyes	10	4	3	3	+3	15
5	Paris FC	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	Amiens	10	4	2	4	+3	14
7	Le Havre	11	4	2	5	-6	14
8	Auxerre	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Sochaux	10	2	6	2	+3	12
10	Grenoble	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Caen	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Guingamp	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Ajaccio	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Niort	9	3	1	5	-10	10
15	Chambly	9	1	6	2	-3	9
16	Nancy	11	2	3	6	-4	9
17	Dunkerque	10	3	0	7	-11	9
18	Rodez	9	0	6	3	-7	6
19	Chateauroux	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Pau FC	11	1	2	8	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.