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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Hertha
T S T U T
1–4
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
59%
29%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 14. · Werder Bremen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 12 3 2 +24 39
2 RB Leipzig 18 10 5 3 +14 35
3 Leverkusen 18 9 5 4 +14 32
4 Wolfsburg 18 8 8 2 +8 32
5 M'gladbach 18 8 7 3 +7 31
6 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 9 2 +8 30
7 Dortmund 18 9 2 7 +9 29
8 Union Berlin 18 7 7 4 +10 28
9 Freiburg 18 7 6 5 +4 27
10 Stuttgart 18 5 7 6 +4 22
11 Augsburg 18 6 4 8 -8 22
12 Hoffenheim 17 5 4 8 -5 19
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 -6 18
14 Hertha 17 4 5 8 -5 17
15 Bielefeld 18 5 2 11 -15 17
16 FC Koln 17 3 6 8 -13 15
17 Mainz 18 2 4 12 -20 10
18 Schalke 04 17 1 4 12 -30 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Werder Bremen
Maximilian Mittelstädt 🟨
9′
10′
D. Selke 0–1
12′
🟨 Davie Selke
21′
🟨 Jean-Manuel Mbom
Jhon Córdoba 🟨
27′
29′
Ö. Toprak 0–2
L. Bittencourt
32′
🔁 J. Sargent
↦ D. Selke
Half-time 0–2
M. Leckie 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
46′
1–2 J. Córdoba
P. Pekarík
47′
51′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ J. Mbom
51′
🔁 N. Moisander
↦ Ö. Toprak
57′
L. Bittencourt 1–3
M. Eggestein
D. Redan 🔁
↦ L. Tousart
64′
K. Piątek 🔁
↦ P. Pekarík
64′
77′
J. Sargent 1–4
85′
🔁 Y. Ōsako
↦ R. Schmid
86′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Hertha

4-3-3
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
5 N. Stark D
14 O. Alderete D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
32 L. Netz D
6 V. Darida F
29 L. Tousart M
8 M. Guendouzi M
15 J. Córdoba F
10 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (9)
7 M. Leckie
33 D. Redan
9 K. Piątek
22 R. Jarstein
42 D. Zeefuik
13 L. Klünter
18 S. Ascacíbar
25 J. Torunarigha
27 J. Ngankam

Coach: B. Labbadia

Werder Bremen

3-5-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie M
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
17 F. Agu M
10 L. Bittencourt M
35 M. Eggestein M
20 R. Schmid F
34 J. Mbom M
9 D. Selke F
Bench (9)
19 J. Sargent
7 M. Rashica
18 N. Moisander
8 Y. Ōsako
22 T. Chong
28 I. Gruev
38 E. Santos
33 J. Rieckmann
43 E. Dinkçi

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,40
B ✓
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.