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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
Vitesse
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Groningen
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 64%
71%
56%
Points per game
2,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 2. · Groningen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 17 13 2 2 +45 41
2 Vitesse 17 12 2 3 +18 38
3 PSV Eindhoven 17 11 4 2 +22 37
4 AZ Alkmaar 17 9 7 1 +16 34
5 Feyenoord 15 10 3 2 +19 33
6 Groningen 16 9 3 4 +4 30
7 Twente 17 8 4 5 +9 28
8 Heerenveen 17 5 7 5 -1 22
9 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 2 8 -2 20
10 Zwolle 18 4 8 6 -7 20
11 Utrecht 15 4 7 4 -2 19
12 For Sittard 17 5 4 8 -9 19
13 Heracles 17 5 3 9 -9 18
14 VVV Venlo 17 4 4 9 -18 16
15 Waalwijk 17 3 5 9 -14 14
16 Den Haag 18 2 5 11 -25 11
17 Willem II 18 2 4 12 -18 10
18 FC Emmen 18 0 6 12 -28 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Groningen
1–0 R. Bazoer
36′
Riechedly Bazoer ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
37′
45′
🟨 Ahmed El Messaoudi
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Alessio Da Cruz
I. Touré 🔁
↦ A. Broja
65′
P. Vroegh 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
66′
69′
🔁 T. Suslov
↦ A. da Cruz
Oussama Tannane 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 R. Lundqvist
↦ A. Matusiwa
78′
🔁 B. van Hintum
↦ M. te Wierik
Patrick Vroegh 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 S. Schreck
↦ D. Dankerlui
O. Darfalou 🔁
↦ L. Openda
85′
D. Huisman 🔁
↦ O. Tannane
85′
85′
🔁 P. Joosten
↦ A. El Messaoudi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

5-3-2
22 R. Pasveer G
2 E. Dasa D
32 M. Wittek D
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
20 T. Bruns M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
14 O. Tannane M
7 L. Openda F
11 A. Broja F
Bench (12)
27 I. Touré
36 P. Vroegh
9 O. Darfalou
40 D. Huisman
17 H. Gong
16 A. Oroz
19 N. Ohio
18 T. Hájek
42 M. Manhoef
39 E. Cornelisse
24 J. Houwen
23 B. Bayazit

Coach: T. Letsch

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
32 M. te Wierik D
2 D. Dankerlui D
5 K. Itakura D
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
26 D. van Kaam M
21 A. da Cruz M
15 G. Gudmundsson D
11 M. El Hankouri M
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (11)
31 T. Suslov
7 R. Lundqvist
3 B. van Hintum
8 S. Schreck
14 P. Joosten
34 K. Slor
33 J. van Kaam
4 W. Dammers
25 J. de Boer
17 Migue Leal
23 P. Bråtveit

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,80
B
4,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.