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Premiership

Referee: C Napier

Aberdeen

U S U T T

2–0

Full-time

Motherwell

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

18%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

45%

41%

Both score Ø 39%

41%

36%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

26 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 1

2 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Motherwell 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	24	21	3	0	+53	66
2	Celtic	22	13	7	2	+30	46
3	Hibernian	24	11	7	6	+9	40
4	Aberdeen	22	11	6	5	+5	39
5	Livingston	23	9	5	9	+1	32
6	Dundee United	24	6	10	8	-10	28
7	Kilmarnock	23	7	3	13	-4	24
8	St Mirren	21	6	5	10	-8	23
9	ST Johnstone	24	5	8	11	-11	23
10	Ross County	24	5	5	14	-25	20
11	Motherwell	22	4	7	11	-14	19
12	Hamilton	23	5	4	14	-26	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	11	11	0	0	+32	33
2	Celtic	11	7	3	1	+16	24
3	Aberdeen	12	7	2	3	+5	23
4	Hibernian	12	4	5	3	-1	17
5	Dundee United	12	4	4	4	+1	16
6	Kilmarnock	11	4	2	5	+3	14
7	Livingston	11	4	2	5	-2	14
8	ST Johnstone	12	3	3	6	-6	12
9	St Mirren	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Ross County	12	2	4	6	-13	10
11	Motherwell	12	2	3	7	-10	9
12	Hamilton	12	2	3	7	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	13	10	3	0	+21	33
2	Hibernian	12	7	2	3	+10	23
3	Celtic	11	6	4	1	+14	22
4	Livingston	12	5	3	4	+3	18
5	Aberdeen	10	4	4	2	+0	16
6	St Mirren	11	4	1	6	-3	13
7	Dundee United	12	2	6	4	-11	12
8	ST Johnstone	12	2	5	5	-5	11
9	Motherwell	10	2	4	4	-4	10
10	Kilmarnock	12	3	1	8	-7	10
11	Ross County	12	3	1	8	-12	10
12	Hamilton	11	3	1	7	-15	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.