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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Mechelen
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Eupen
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 21/24 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
76%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
71%
67%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 12. · Eupen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 13 4 4 +28 43
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 25 12 6 7 +7 42
3 Waregem 26 13 3 10 +5 42
4 Genk 23 11 8 4 +17 41
5 Antwerp 21 12 5 4 +13 41
6 Anderlecht 23 8 11 4 +11 35
7 Charleroi 24 10 4 10 +1 34
8 Eupen 24 8 10 6 -3 34
9 Standard 21 9 6 6 +6 33
10 Beerschot VA 24 10 3 11 -7 33
11 Kortrijk 24 9 5 10 -4 32
12 Mechelen 21 9 4 8 -1 31
13 Gent 22 9 3 10 +6 30
14 Oostende 21 8 5 8 +3 29
15 St Truiden 24 7 6 11 -6 27
16 Cercle Brugge 24 7 1 16 -10 22
17 Mouscron 22 5 6 11 -13 21
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 5 6 11 -13 21
19 Waasland-Beveren 23 5 6 12 -20 21
20 Beveren 23 5 6 12 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Eupen
1–0 G. Hairemans
26′
Thibault Peyre 🟨
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Mrabti
S. Walsh
47′
52′
🟨 Senna Miangue
65′
🔁 J. Cools
↦ E. Kayembe
65′
🔁 M. Koné
↦ J. Ngoy
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
70′
3–0 I. de Camargo
74′
75′
🔁 Carlos Embalo
↦ J. Heris
Kerim Mrabti 🟨
78′
A. Vranckx 🔁
↦ M. Shved
81′
I. Kaboré 🔁
↦ S. Walsh
81′
82′
🔁 G. Magnée
↦ A. Baby
82′
🔁 A. Beck
↦ S. Peeters
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
84′
S. Defour 🔁
↦ J. Van Damme
84′
Issa Kabore 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
7 G. Hairemans F
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
10 I. de Camargo F
19 K. Mrabti M
35 M. Shved F
Bench (7)
8 O. Kaya
40 A. Vranckx
29 I. Kaboré
9 F. Druijf
88 S. Defour
1 G. Coucke
14 S. Voet

Coach: W. Vrancken

Eupen

4-4-2
31 T. Defourny G
28 J. Heris D
3 M. Koch D
23 S. Miangué M
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
11 A. Baby M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
34 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
26 J. Cools
77 M. Koné
17 Carlos Embalo
15 G. Magnée
32 A. Beck
29 I. Nuhu
1 O. De Wolf

Coach: Beñat San José

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,71
B
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.