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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Sletner
Raufoss
S U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Fredrikstad
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 8. · Fredrikstad 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 23 20 3 0 +58 63
2 KFUM Oslo 22 12 5 5 +13 41
3 Stabaek 22 11 7 4 +21 40
4 Ranheim 22 11 6 5 +4 39
5 Start 22 10 6 6 +18 36
6 Sandnes ULF 22 10 4 8 +2 34
7 Sogndal 22 9 5 8 -4 32
8 Raufoss 22 8 7 7 -9 31
9 Mjondalen 23 9 3 11 -11 30
10 Asane 23 7 7 9 -15 28
11 Kongsvinger 19 7 6 6 +4 27
12 Fredrikstad 22 6 7 9 -2 25
13 Bryne 22 6 5 11 -9 23
14 Skeid 22 4 3 15 -19 15
15 Stjørdals-Blink 22 3 5 14 -23 14
16 Grorud 22 0 7 15 -28 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Fredrikstad
Half-time 0–0
65′
🔁 N. Solberg
↦ L. Lima
M. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ F. Brattbakk
67′
K. Sørensen 🔁
↦ T. Haltvik
67′
1–0 M. Ndiaye
69′
72′
🔁 I. Kingsley
↦ R. Alba
72′
🔁 O. Okeke
↦ N. Williams
2–0 M. Johnsgård
73′
76′
🟨 J. Lindstrom
80′
🔁 O. Øby
↦ J. Lindström
80′
🔁 M. Maden
↦ T. Drage
82′
🟨 H. Asheim
88′
N. Solberg 2–1
E. Dadjo 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
5 A. Guðjónsson
7 É. Dadjo
8 M. Johnsgård
11 N. Fremstad
22 M. Karlsbakk
20 G. Simenstad
25 E. Frøysa
26 F. Brattbakk
10 T. Haltvik
21 M. Fagernes
Bench (6)
28 M. Ndiaye
30 K. Sørensen
2 T. Løberg
3 A. Møllerhagen
19 T. Andersen
23 R. Johnsen

Coach: C. Johnsen

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
18 L. Begby
3 B. Skaret
17 T. Johansen
7 T. Drage
14 J. Lindström
20 H. Åsheim
11 R. Alba
24 N. Williams
29 L. Lima
Bench (9)
10 N. Solberg
15 I. Kingsley
22 O. Okeke
19 O. Øby
23 M. Maden
2 A. Hansen
25 O. Langbråten
26 M. Nielsen
33 F. Stensland

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.