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Serie A

Referee: R Abisso

Salernitana

T T U S U

2–2

Full-time

Empoli

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,8

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

4 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 12. · Empoli 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	3	2	0	+8	11
2	Milan	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Atalanta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Udinese	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Roma	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+5	9
7	Inter	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Salernitana	4	1	2	1	+3	5
13	Verona	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Empoli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Cremonese	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Monza	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Salernitana	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Verona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Torino	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Roma	3	1	1	1	-3	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sassuolo	3	0	2	1	-3	2
13	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.