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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Chaves

T T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Rio Ave

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

21 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 11

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chaves 8. · Rio Ave 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+15	13
3	Porto	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Portimonense	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Boavista	5	3	0	2	-2	9
6	Casa Pia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Estoril	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Chaves	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Arouca	5	2	1	2	-8	7
11	Guimaraes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Vizela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Santa Clara	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Famalicao	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	0	5	-9	0
18	Maritimo	5	0	0	5	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Boavista	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-5	3
15	Vizela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chaves	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Porto	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Casa Pia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-3	4
10	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Santa Clara	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.