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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Valenciennes

S U S T U

2–2

Full-time

St Etienne

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,2

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

0,8

3,8

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

0,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 12. · St Etienne 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Caen	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Guingamp	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Amiens	4	3	0	1	+1	9
5	Bordeaux	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Metz	5	2	1	2	+3	7
7	Laval	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Bastia	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Niort	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Le Havre	4	1	2	1	+5	5
11	Paris FC	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valenciennes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Grenoble	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Sochaux	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Quevilly Rouen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Rodez	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-7	2
19	Pau FC	4	0	2	2	-7	2
20	Annecy	4	0	1	3	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Metz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Caen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Niort	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Quevilly Rouen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Le Havre	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sochaux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-6	1
20	Annecy	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	-1	6
3	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Caen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Dijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+5	3
7	Sochaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Niort	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Amiens	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Paris FC	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Metz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Annecy	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Quevilly Rouen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Valenciennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.