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Ligue 2
Referee: A Perreau Niel
St Etienne
U S T U T
0–2
Full-time
Paris FC
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
82%
45%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
3,6
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Etienne 15. · Paris FC 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Amiens 11 7 2 2 +5 23
3 Le Havre 11 6 4 1 +14 22
4 Sochaux 11 7 1 3 +12 22
5 Valenciennes 11 5 4 2 +2 19
6 Caen 11 5 3 3 +5 18
7 Guingamp 11 5 3 3 +2 18
8 Grenoble 11 4 4 3 -1 16
9 Bastia 11 5 1 5 -4 16
10 Metz 11 4 2 5 +1 14
11 Paris FC 11 3 4 4 -2 13
12 Quevilly Rouen 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 Annecy 11 3 3 5 +0 12
14 Dijon 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 St Etienne 11 2 5 4 -2 11
16 Rodez 11 2 5 4 -5 11
17 Pau FC 11 2 5 4 -7 11
18 Laval 11 3 1 7 -5 10
19 Nimes 11 2 2 7 -7 8
20 Niort 11 2 2 7 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Paris FC
L. Pintor 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
10′
Benjamin Bouchouari 🟨
31′
Dylan Chambost 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Cyril Mandouki
Half-time 0–0
Gabriel Silva 🔁
↦ A. Bakayoko
46′
60′
J. Le Cardinal 0–1
C. Mandouki
A. Moueffek 🔁
↦ B. Bouchouari
61′
L. Mouton 🔁
↦ V. Lobry
62′
66′
🟨 Ivan Filipović
J. Othman 🔁
↦ Y. Maçon
72′
74′
🔁 M. Chahiri
↦ A. Gory
75′
🔁 W. Caddy
↦ M. Guilavogui
76′
🟨 Ivan Filipović
76′
🟥 Ivan Filipović
78′
🔁 V. Demarconnay
↦ J. Hadjam
82′
M. Chahiri 0–2
89′
🟨 Lebogang Phiri
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
42 E. Green G
36 A. Bakayoko D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
27 Y. Maçon D
6 B. Bouchouari M
7 T. Monconduit M
18 M. Cafaro M
14 D. Chambost M
22 V. Lobry M
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (7)
15 L. Pintor
11 Gabriel Silva
29 A. Moueffek
37 L. Mouton
41 J. Othman
5 J. Giraudon
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Batlles

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
40 I. Filipović G
26 J. Le Cardinal D
31 S. Chergui D
15 J. Lefort D
29 F. Hanin D
14 C. Mandouki M
10 J. Iglesias M
3 J. Hadjam M
12 L. Phiri M
27 A. Gory M
21 M. Guilavogui F
Bench (7)
7 M. Chahiri
22 W. Caddy
1 V. Demarconnay
33 G. Oualengbe
24 M. Bernauer
20 J. López
11 I. Kebbal

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U
3,25
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Perreau Niel · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.