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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Amiens
T S S S T
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
58%
17%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
42%
75%
Both score Ø 55%
42%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 4. · St Etienne 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 12 7 3 2 +11 24
2 Le Havre 12 6 5 1 +14 23
3 Sochaux 12 7 2 3 +12 23
4 Amiens 12 7 2 3 +3 23
5 Valenciennes 12 6 4 2 +3 22
6 Grenoble 12 5 4 3 +2 19
7 Guingamp 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Caen 12 5 3 4 +1 18
9 Bastia 12 5 2 5 -4 17
10 Paris FC 12 4 4 4 +0 16
11 Metz 12 4 3 5 +1 15
12 Quevilly Rouen 12 3 5 4 -4 14
13 Pau FC 12 3 5 4 -5 14
14 Laval 12 4 1 7 -1 13
15 Dijon 12 3 4 5 -4 13
16 Annecy 12 3 3 6 -2 12
17 Rodez 12 2 6 4 -5 12
18 St Etienne 12 2 5 5 -4 11
19 Nimes 12 3 2 7 -5 11
20 Niort 12 2 2 8 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens St Etienne
35′
🟨 Ibrahima Wadji
39′
🟨 Leo Petrot
Half-time 0–1
50′
I. Wadji 0–1
Sebastian Ring 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ L. Mouton
A. Chibozo 🔁
↦ P. Cissé
63′
J. Bénet 🔁
↦ Mamadou Fofana II
64′
64′
🔁 Gabriel Silva
↦ L. Pintor
Mamadou Fofana 🟨
74′
I. Gomis 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
77′
M. Xantippe 🔁
↦ S. Ring
77′
H. Bandé 🔁
↦ J. Gélin
82′
82′
🔁 B. Bouchouari
↦ I. Wadji
82′
🔁 J. Othman
↦ T. Monconduit
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Amiens

3-1-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
23 A. Barry D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
24 J. Gélin M
7 A. Léautey M
96 G. Kakuta M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
3 S. Ring M
18 P. Cissé F
9 T. Arokodare F
Bench (7)
10 A. Chibozo
21 J. Bénet
29 I. Gomis
26 M. Xantippe
11 H. Bandé
16 P. Charruau
20 M. Lachuer

Coach: P. Hinschberger

St Etienne

3-5-1-1
1 M. Dreyer G
23 A. Briançon D
5 J. Giraudon D
19 L. Pétrot D
52 A. Namri M
37 L. Mouton M
7 T. Monconduit M
22 V. Lobry M
15 L. Pintor M
14 D. Chambost F
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (7)
29 A. Moueffek
11 Gabriel Silva
6 B. Bouchouari
41 J. Othman
42 E. Green
4 S. Sow
3 M. Nadé

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U
3,24
B ✓
2,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.