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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Metz
T S U S U
2–0
Full-time
St Etienne
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 14. · St Etienne 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 6 0 2 +17 18
2 Lille 7 5 2 0 +11 17
3 Rennes 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 Marseille 8 4 3 1 +3 15
5 Nice 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Lens 7 4 1 2 +0 13
7 Angers 8 4 1 3 -6 13
8 Montpellier 7 3 2 2 +4 11
9 Monaco 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Lyon 7 2 4 1 +3 10
11 St Etienne 7 3 1 3 -1 10
12 Bordeaux 7 2 3 2 +2 9
13 Brest 7 3 0 4 -4 9
14 Metz 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Nantes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
16 Nimes 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Lorient 8 2 1 5 -3 7
18 Strasbourg 7 1 0 6 -10 3
19 Reims 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Dijon 8 0 2 6 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz St Etienne
1–0 F. Boulaya
5′
23′
🟨 Panagiotis Retsos
31′
🟨 Denis Bouanga
Victorien Angban 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 W. Khazri
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
48′
🔁 M. Tshibuabua
↦ P. Retsos
Vágner 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
56′
63′
🔁 L. Gourna-Douath
↦ A. Aouchiche
72′
🟨 Yvan Neyou
Digbo Maiga 🟨
73′
1–1 N. Sissoko
own goal
78′
Vincent Pajot 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 M. Rivera
↦ Y. Neyou Noupa
82′
🔁 T. Tormin
↦ D. Bouanga
W. Tchimbembé 🔁
↦ V. Angban
89′
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ H. Maïga
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
3 M. Udol D
2 D. Bronn D
18 F. Centonze D
14 V. Pajot M
5 V. Angban M
11 O. Nguette F
10 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
13 M. Gueye F
Bench (9)
27 Vágner
12 W. Tchimbembé
6 M. Fofana
23 B. Kouyaté
15 P. Sarr
26 P. Yade
17 T. Delaine
22 Y. Maziz
30 M. Caillard

Coach: F. Antonetti

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 J. Moulin G
4 P. Retsos D
31 N. Sissoko D
35 S. Sow D
8 M. Camara M
19 Y. Neyou Noupa M
34 A. Moueffek D
17 A. Aouchiche M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
21 R. Hamouma F
20 D. Bouanga M
Bench (9)
10 W. Khazri
36 M. Tshibuabua
33 L. Gourna-Douath
32 M. Rivera
38 T. Tormin
28 Z. Youssouf
37 R. Souici
1 S. Bajic
15 B. Benkhedim

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,30
B
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.