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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Bastia

U U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Caen

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 37%

27%

47%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 15. · Caen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	16	10	5	1	+19	35
2	Bordeaux	16	8	4	4	+10	28
3	Sochaux	15	8	3	4	+12	27
4	Grenoble	15	7	5	3	+4	26
5	Caen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
6	Valenciennes	15	6	5	4	+1	23
7	Amiens	15	7	2	6	-1	23
8	Metz	15	6	3	6	+3	21
9	Pau FC	15	5	6	4	-3	21
10	Laval	15	6	2	7	+1	20
11	Guingamp	15	5	5	5	+0	20
12	Paris FC	15	5	5	5	-2	20
13	Annecy	16	5	4	7	-1	19
14	Quevilly Rouen	15	4	6	5	-3	18
15	Bastia	15	5	3	7	-6	18
16	Nimes	15	4	3	8	-5	15
17	Dijon	15	3	6	6	-5	15
18	Rodez	15	3	6	6	-6	15
19	St Etienne	16	3	5	8	-7	14
20	Niort	15	3	3	9	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Sochaux	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Caen	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Bordeaux	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Grenoble	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Amiens	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Valenciennes	7	4	3	0	+4	15
8	Metz	8	4	2	2	+3	14
9	Nimes	7	4	1	2	+3	13
10	Pau FC	7	3	3	1	+0	12
11	Laval	8	3	1	4	+1	10
12	Bastia	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Dijon	8	2	4	2	-2	10
14	Annecy	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Quevilly Rouen	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Guingamp	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Niort	8	2	2	4	-6	8
19	Paris FC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Rodez	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Paris FC	8	4	3	1	+4	15
3	Rodez	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Bordeaux	8	3	2	3	+2	11
5	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Sochaux	7	3	1	3	+3	10
7	Laval	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Annecy	8	2	3	3	+2	9
9	Grenoble	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Pau FC	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Quevilly Rouen	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Valenciennes	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Metz	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	Amiens	7	2	1	4	-6	7
16	St Etienne	9	1	3	5	-4	6
17	Caen	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Niort	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	Nimes	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.