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Ligue 2

Referee: F Benchabane

Caen

U U S U T

3–1

Full-time

Bastia

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

33%

48%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

24%

Both score Ø 36%

48%

24%

Average goals

2,1

2,0

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 8. · Bastia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	21	13	7	1	+23	46
2	Sochaux	21	11	3	7	+15	36
3	Bordeaux	21	10	6	5	+13	36
4	Bastia	21	10	4	7	+0	34
5	Metz	21	9	6	6	+9	33
6	Amiens	21	9	6	6	+4	33
7	Grenoble	21	9	6	6	+3	33
8	Caen	21	7	8	6	+1	29
9	Annecy	21	7	7	7	+3	28
10	Quevilly Rouen	21	7	7	7	+0	28
11	Guingamp	21	7	6	8	-3	27
12	Laval	21	8	3	10	-5	27
13	Paris FC	21	7	6	8	-5	27
14	Pau FC	21	6	8	7	-5	26
15	Valenciennes	21	6	8	7	-5	26
16	Nimes	21	6	4	11	-9	22
17	Dijon	21	5	6	10	-5	21
18	St Etienne	21	5	6	10	-8	21
19	Rodez	21	4	8	9	-9	20
20	Niort	21	4	5	12	-17	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	10	7	3	0	+12	24
2	Sochaux	11	7	2	2	+13	23
3	Bastia	11	7	1	3	+5	22
4	Bordeaux	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Grenoble	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Caen	10	5	4	1	+8	19
7	Metz	11	5	4	2	+5	19
8	Amiens	10	5	3	2	+5	18
9	Valenciennes	10	4	6	0	+4	18
10	Annecy	11	5	2	4	+1	17
11	Quevilly Rouen	10	4	4	2	+4	16
12	Laval	11	5	1	5	+1	16
13	Dijon	11	4	4	3	+1	16
14	Nimes	10	5	1	4	+0	16
15	Pau FC	10	3	5	2	-1	14
16	St Etienne	10	3	3	4	-3	12
17	Niort	11	3	2	6	-8	11
18	Guingamp	11	2	3	6	-6	9
19	Paris FC	10	2	3	5	-6	9
20	Rodez	10	1	4	5	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	11	6	4	1	+11	22
2	Guingamp	10	5	3	2	+3	18
3	Paris FC	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Amiens	11	4	3	4	-1	15
6	Metz	10	4	2	4	+4	14
7	Sochaux	10	4	1	5	+2	13
8	Grenoble	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Rodez	11	3	4	4	-1	13
10	Pau FC	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Quevilly Rouen	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Bastia	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Annecy	10	2	5	3	+2	11
14	Laval	10	3	2	5	-6	11
15	Caen	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	St Etienne	11	2	3	6	-5	9
17	Valenciennes	11	2	2	7	-9	8
18	Nimes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
19	Niort	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Dijon	10	1	2	7	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.